winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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Just a little moderate shower here as the strong storm misses me slightly to the south.
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Yeah looks like the heavy stuff will miss us just to the south.
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The action moving into Somerset County will be here shortly. Hoping to get a heavy downpour.
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I see the 15z run continues this theme, with storms scattered around throughout the afternoon instead of a break and then a main line for the early evening. Who knows -- these events are difficult to predict. I see on radar more downpours are popping up in eastern PA, so maybe this new idea from the HRRR is going to be correct.
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So ridiculous. So many people don't understand the nature of summer storms, which of course is that only isolated spots get hit with flooding or damage. You shouldn't close things down due to thunderstorm potential.
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On channel 7 Lee Goldberg will often say that he disagrees with the futurecast. Or he'll do what he did yesterday which was show the HRRR futurecast because he didn't agree with the regular futurecast not showing the break during the afternoon like the HRRR did.
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Which is obviously wrong. It continues to appear that there will be a smaller round for late morning and midday, and then the potential major round for early evening. We could get hit hard around 5 to 7pm, but we'll have to see if there's enough sunshine during the afternoon break to really fire up the atmosphere and increase the risk of the early evening storms being severe.
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I see the 18z HRRR has a round for around midday, and then a long break for the afternoon before a big round for the early evening.
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Yeah July hasn't been bad other than that incredible heat wave to start the month. Pretty good that we're gonna end up with a near normal month despite that record early heat. I'm glad that we've gotten much more rain this month too.
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Up to 1.62" for the day now after a couple more heavy downpours.
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Thanks for posting this radar -- it just covers my area as well. Didn't realize it would. The COD NEXRAD radar (the local one here is down right now of course) is SO much better than the standard low bandwidth radar.
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Another heavy downpour going on here now.
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All of the early action doomed our chances for late day and evening, but we got plenty of rain so I'm ok with it.
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1.20" so far here today. With the heavy downpours shifting south, we'll have to see if we get something more here way later.
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Now the worst of this next round missing me slightly to the south. Central Middlesex County will get a lot of rain. Would've been a pretty good flooding threat here if this next batch was slightly more to the north.
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I've always noticed that warm front storms have the most lightning.
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Coming down in buckets. This is wonderful.
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These storms don't have much wind but WOW, so many very close lightning strikes. Haven't had lightning like this in a long time.
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Pouring again. Obviously we're gonna get a lot of rain today.
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These storms have been nice -- not the very strong wind that would cause damage, but lots of lightning.
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Yeah another downpour here now with some lightning.
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And the funny thing is, remember how I mentioned that yesterday's 12z HRRR nailed our area today around 10 in the morning. That HRRR run yesterday ended up being correct, but future runs lost it. It's such an inconsistent model, but it's certainly useful at times.
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You have to wonder if this early convection is messing up our chances for later, but I don't care -- that was a very nice storm. I got a quick 0.46" from it. Glad the vegetable garden got a good watering.
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Yeah I just had an extremely close lightning strike that sounded like a shotgun blast too. Love it!
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Pouring.
