winterwx21

Low temp of 34 here this morning. A little frost, but those pole lima beans in the garden are amazing. They still look fine. I'll still be picking more over the next week. I'm thinking around November 4th is when the vegetable garden will finally be killed.

Had a low temp of 37 this morning. The vegetable garden lives on. I don't think we'll be able to avoid frost for too much longer though with this cool pattern. Maybe we can get through next week, but I'll be surprised if the garden doesn't get killed during the 1st week of November.

0.34" here last night. Just enough to give the vegetable garden a watering.

Yeah I'm sure the NAM 3km is way overdone with the .75 to 1 inch for our area, but HRRR is probably underdone with the less than a quarter inch. Your prediction looks good -- probably close to a third of an inch. Obviously not enough to help with the drought, but I'll be happy to see the vegetable garden get a watering.

Only a tenth of an inch of rain here last night. No surprise. The drought will continue to get worse with this dry week. Hopefully we'll get some help for the drought next week, but who knows. At least we have perfect viewing conditions for the peak of Orionid meteor shower tonight. Clear skies and no moonlight. It should be a good show.

0.51" storm total here. Not enough to put a dent in the drought unfortunately.

Only 0.42" here so far. Maybe we get a quarter inch more this afternoon into tonight? At least it's enough to give the vegetable garden a watering, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was hoping we'd get a lot more from this storm, but of course the signs were there that the heavier amounts would be to the south and east.

12z Euro doesn't really bring the rain in until tomorrow night, but then gives us a decent soaking tomorrow night and Monday. A little over an inch of rain for this area. Overall this storm doesn't look as bad as it did a few days ago, but I'm glad we're gonna get some much needed rain.

Wow that's a very early first freeze for your area. Thankfully I only got down to 37 here, so the growing season continues. My pole lima beans are still producing heavily and I don't want that to stop anytime soon.

Yep but different than GFS. GFS gives us our heavier rain Sunday morning to early afternoon, and then lighter rain after that. Euro just brushes us with a little light rain during the day Sunday, and waits until Sunday night to bring in the heavy rain. Obviously we have a long way to go to figure out the details.

0.41" here. I would've liked more, but that's not too bad. At least it was enough to give the vegetable garden a much needed watering.

12z RGEM looks pretty good too. Hopefully we're still on track for a decent soaking.

That would be horrible but of course this is the lousy NAM. I see RGEM and HRRR tonight look better. Just give me a half inch and I'll be happy. Obviously it isn't going to be a drought buster, but we really need a decent watering.

At least most models are still showing a nice half inch to inch soaking for tomorrow night into Wednesday morning. Hopefully that will hold. That would be a much needed watering.

Yeah almost everything was still open. It was almost as busy there today as a summer day. Perfect weather for it. We always go a few times during July and August on Wednesdays because they have fireworks on Wednesday nights, but it's nice to go down there one more time during the early fall before things close down. Almost everything will be closing after next weekend. But anyway just to get back to what we were talking about with the Belmar forecast. I see Belmar had a high temp of 82 today, so we were right about the NWS forecast of 72 being ridiculously low. It felt like summer this afternoon walking up and down the Seaside Heights boardwalk.

Yeah looking at the long range into mid October, the models look fairly cool now. Of course we can't rule out the odd 80 degree day later in the fall, but today through Tuesday looks like our last truly summery period of the season. The drought will worsen as well with the dry pattern continuing.

Had a low temp of 47 here this morning. We have the 4 day blast of summer with highs in the low to mid 80s Saturday through Tuesday, and then I'm hoping we get some heavy downpours with the front on Wednesday like last night's Euro showed. Then a nice cooldown for late week with high temps in the 60s.

Don pointed out the strange discrepancy in the NWS forecast for down there, as they have 72 for Belmar but 77 for South Belmar. It doesn't make any sense. It definitely will be much warmer than 72 at Belmar this weekend since the wind will be switching to the southwest. I'm going down to Seaside Heights on Saturday and I'll be surprised if it isn't in the upper 70s.

I agree with warlock on this one. I don't know why NWS is going so low for that area. It will likely be higher than low 70s with the southwest winds.

70 degrees here and not a cloud in the sky. Great way to start October. I'm leaving right now for bow hunting for the first time this season. Perfect weather for it.

I got 0.16" here. More than I thought we'd get, but still not enough to help very much. Lots of watering will be needed with pretty much no rain in sight.

All the humidity this week and we couldn't even get a quarter inch of rain out of it. Frustrating. I'm sure the moderate drought will be expanding across the area over the next couple weeks. Hopefully it won't get as bad as it was last fall.

Only 0.17" here between last night and today so far. It's going to be a major disappointment if we don't get a downpour this afternoon or tonight.

85 with a dewpoint of 64 here right now. Feels like late August rather than late September.

You'd hope we'd get some heavy rain at some point with this humidity sticking around for the rest of the week.