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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    Yeah a true thread the needle as we've been saying. Let's hope we get lucky. We certainly got lucky with many thread the needle storms during the great run of snowfall winters we had before the last few years. You never know.
  2. winterwx21
    Yep I think that would be a good early call for NYC if you had to make one, but it's very early to be making a call. A long way to go.
  3. winterwx21
    Yep but not much for NYC. It's quite a bit warmer than the 0z run.
  4. winterwx21
    CMC warmer. It has NYC right near the mixing line most of the storm.
  5. winterwx21
    Yeah and when we start looking at NAM tomorrow, we'll be talking about how NAM isn't accurate in the long range and we have to wait awhile. We have a long way to go before we get a good idea of what this storm is gonna be like for us.
  6. winterwx21
    We knew that the trough out west was gonna be a problem. That along with a borderline airmass in place to begin with meant this was a real thread the needle situation. Doesn't mean the NYC area can't get lucky, but it's only a slight chance. We'll still track it as long as we have a chance, but I'm not optimistic.
  7. winterwx21
    The Canadian has been good with winter storm threats the last few years. A much improved model.
  8. winterwx21
    Good to see the Euro trend colder and put us near edge here, but 6 days to go is a very long time considering the accuracy of models at this range. Who knows at this point, but at least it looks like our first legitimate threat. Anyway I say it's time to take a break from the models for a little while and enjoy the holiday weekend. I hope everyone has a great New Year's Eve and New Year's day. Another great food holiday. Football today, but I also love watching The Twilght Zone Marathon. That has become a big New Year's tradition. Happy New Year! Hopefully after the holiday this winter storm threat for next weekend will look better as we get to a more realistic range midweek.
  9. winterwx21
    Would be nothing during the day with Wednesday's temps, but maybe we can pull off a slushy coating since it's happening at night.
  10. winterwx21
    As WX/PT said in the December thread, it's a real thread the needle situation. Right now I would lean towards mostly rain, but at least we have a shot. Nice to have something to track.
  11. winterwx21
    A beautiful 55 degrees here right now, but it looks like a pretty long stretch of slightly above average temps (highs in the 40s) after today. Cool but probably not cold enough for snow near the coast. Looks like an annoying pattern. Since it's January and not a torch we can't rule out a thread the needle event, so of course we'll keep an eye on things. Not looking good though.
  12. winterwx21
    Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays! I hope everyone who celebrates has a great holiday tomorrow with family, friends and of course all the great food. Dessert is one of my favorite parts of the holiday. Today I'm busy making chocolate chip cookies, coconut custard pie and double banana cream pie. Looking forward to tomorrow! Merry Christmas! Too bad we don't have any snow threats during the holidays, but the pattern for early January looks interesting as many have pointed out. Hopefully we'll have something interesting to track around New Year's time.
  13. winterwx21
    I know it was a lot of rain, but this was kind of a meh event to me. I'm always excited by t-storms in the summer, but a big rainstorm in December doesn't do much for me. Hopefully we'll see a nice winter storm in January.
  14. winterwx21
    3.58 here so far. Moderate rain right now. Back edge moving into western NJ, so it's almost over. Haven't had any significant wind.
  15. winterwx21
    Beautiful today. 55 degrees here. Great for late season outdoor activities. It feels more like November bow hunting than December gun hunting weather ..... love it!
  16. winterwx21
    It does look like a decent brief cold shot for Wednesday night into Thursday. We might struggle to hit 40 on Thursday, but we'll be right back to highs near 50 for Friday and the weekend. Overall it looks like a lot of average to slightly above average temps for the rest of December, and a pretty dry pattern. Boring times ahead. Looks as if it will be awhile before we have anything interesting to talk about. Hopefully we'll see significant changes for January. In the meantime at least we have football and the holiday season to enjoy.
  17. winterwx21
    This rainy weather really helped the Jets today. As you said frustrating year with your Jets, but both Wilsons played great today.
  18. winterwx21
    Yesterday a few degrees below the forecasted high because it was cloudy, and today a few degrees above the forecasted high because it's sunny. We're probably gonna hit 52.
  19. winterwx21
    You and Allsnow absolutely nailed last winter. I love reading both of your posts and learn a lot from them. Keep up the great work!
  20. winterwx21
    Still only 36 degrees here. We're not gonna make it to the forecasted high of 40, but no surprise today is underperforming due to the cloudy skies. Wintry day with the flurries. Probably won't see flakes again for awhile. Euro looks ugly out to day 10 ... doesn't look good for winter lovers. Hopefully things will change late month.
  21. winterwx21
    Had some flurries here. 35 degrees right now.
  22. winterwx21
    We'll probably be in the 60s on Sunday ahead of the storm.
  23. winterwx21
    Allsnow would love to see a snowy winter but he's just being honest about what he's seeing. Remember he was great last winter. He absolutely nailed it. He knows what he's talking about.
  24. winterwx21
    Yeah it's 52 degrees here right now. Beautiful out there ... nice way to end November. I'm leaving now for bow hunting. Perfect weather for it.
  25. winterwx21
    Yep we might not make it out of the upper 30s on Tuesday.
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