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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    CMC is mainly a miss like GFS. Bad night, but we still have 4 days to go. It's close enough that we're in the game.
  2. winterwx21
    Same here. It's a mediocre amount, but it feels like a snowy winter because the events have been frequent.
  3. winterwx21
    Yeah you never know when one will defy the odds. We've had many nice thread the needle snowstorms through the years.
  4. winterwx21
    I'd be ok with it if it brushes us with a moderate snowstorm like many of today's model runs show. Hopefully it won't end up being a complete miss. This is still pretty early considering model skill at predicting storm track at this range. They could completely take away our snow tonight or tomorrow and then bring it back on Monday. We won't know for awhile.
  5. winterwx21
    We're near the edge of the significant snow on this run. Just one solution and we will see many different ones over the next couple days. I don't think we'll have a good idea until Monday or Tuesday.
  6. winterwx21
    The thump ended up being very brief as those good radar echoes fell apart. Back down to very light snow here now. Just about up to an inch ... I measured 0.9". Looks as if about an inch is gonna do it for this event here. It has been a beautiful afternoon with this wet snow coating everything. Nice little event even though it's going to be washed away quickly.
  7. winterwx21
    He hasn't had a great winter. For the snow event in late January he surprised people by saying it could be mostly rain, which of course ended up being wrong. Then the snow event the other night he thought a 4 to 6 inch band would make it to the Metro, which obviously didn't happen. But of course these things are tough to predict and all mets have some good calls and some bad calls.
  8. winterwx21
    Should be a good thump for an hour. Nice radar echoes moving in.
  9. winterwx21
    Snow intensity starting pick up now. I was thinking an inch earlier, but maybe we can get to an inch and a half. As RU pointed out it's a degree or two colder than forecast. My street is starting to get coated now.
  10. winterwx21
    Temp is down to 32 here now. Still mainly accumulating on colder surfaces, but it is trying to dust pavement in spots now.
  11. winterwx21
    It's a beautiful scene out there with the trees coated with the wet snow.
  12. winterwx21
    Moderate snow and 33 degrees. A dusting on colder surfaces now. Maybe we can get an inch on colder surfaces here.
  13. winterwx21
    What are you talking about with Tuesday? Tuesday is dry and cold.
  14. winterwx21
    Euro keeps thew heavier snow to the south and brushes us with a moderate amount of snow. Not bad. We're talking 4 and a half days until first flakes, so we have a long way to go before we have a good idea on snow amounts for our area. Obviously a miss isn't out of the question too, but the potential looks good.
  15. winterwx21
    Yeah models like RGEM and HRRR have gotten warmer for our area. A slushy inch on colder surfaces at most for our area, but now I'm skeptical that even that will happen. It will be nice to see the flakes coming down though, and it'll be a nice little event for areas to the north and west.
  16. winterwx21
    Wow, that certainly is great news. I didn't think that would happen. That was the worst OT I've ever seen on any board.
  17. winterwx21
    GFS a miss while the CMC has mixing issues for the coast -- shows the range of possibilities. Obviously we'll be seeing lots of different solutions the next few days before we get a good idea, so I wouldn't get too high or low with each model run.
  18. winterwx21
    Kind of funny that the NAM models gave much less on the 12z run but then the Euro beefs it up. Those NAM models are terrible. Euro, UKMET and RGEM all look pretty good. I'm guessing NAM will beef it back up a bit tonight. We have a decent chance to get 2 inches but it's probably more on colder surfaces.
  19. winterwx21
    Of course we're gonna go back and forth for days with solutions that hit us and solutions that miss us. It'll be a long time before we know, but at least we have major potential. This will be interesting to track.
  20. winterwx21
    Pretty impressive to be getting below normal temps in all 3 months of met winter. I know this was the first time in 7 years that both December and January were below normal. I wonder how long it has been since all 3 months were below normal like what is happening this winter. Feels strange to be having a cold winter during these days of climate change.
  21. winterwx21
    Yeah it looks like the type of event in which the accumulation would be mostly on colder surfaces.
  22. winterwx21
    This one not as fun because it would quickly get washed away by all the rain, but I would still gladly take a snowy Saturday afternoon with 1 to 3 inches. Hopefully we can get this little thump.
  23. winterwx21
    GFS would be the story of our winter, lol. Another light snowfall while areas to the south get hit hard. We're talking almost a week away though, so no one has a good idea what's gonna happen with this one. At least there's good potential and we have something interesting to track.
  24. winterwx21
    It's running now thankfully.
  25. winterwx21
    Not good for us weather nerds.
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