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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    A little early to talk accumulations, but right now I'd go 1 to 3 for Sunday. CMC is obviously out to lunch with its warm solution. Hopefully we can get a couple inches on the ground for the cold next week ... it would really feel like deep winter.
  2. winterwx21
    The timing for this potential little snow wave seems to be moving up too. Euro and some other models now have it Sunday afternoon instead of late Sunday night into Monday. Let's hope we can pull off a light snow event Sunday and then a more significant one mid next week. Glad we have some things to track.
  3. winterwx21
    I agree. I was half joking with my comment. I could see the Sunday night into Monday wave becoming a moderate event, but a long way to go on that one. It'll be quite awhile before we have a better idea on next week's threats.
  4. winterwx21
    This is the winter of light snowfalls for our area, so it would make sense. We'll probably get another inch next Sunday night lol. At least it would stay on the ground with the very cold weather next week.
  5. winterwx21
    The departure for January should increase though with the cold coming next week and in the long range. Don Sutherland's latest estimate is that January will finish 3 degrees below normal.
  6. winterwx21
    GFS looked interesting as well. Long range for late January has potential. The light snow events have been nice, but we really need a more significant event.
  7. winterwx21
    Hopefully we can still pull off a snowstorm or two if we have a warm February. Last winter our area got lucky with the 2 snowstorms in one week in February.
  8. winterwx21
    Yeah that was weird how HRRR took away the snow for a few runs after the 0z run. Obviously an error. It's annoying how inconsistent that model can be. Anyway I got 0.6" here. Not bad. We got our half inch to inch as expected, although I see some spots got lucky and got up to an inch and a half. Another nice little light snow event. Pretty out there. We've nickel and dimed our way to 6 inches on the season here. Not too bad, but I hope we get a bigger event later January. Obviously we won't be able to continue to nickel and dime our way to near near normal snowfall all season. We need some bigger events.
  9. winterwx21
    I see RGEM just bumped up to an inch for our area too. Good to see that our area is looking good for an inch on the 0z models. I know we want much more, but we were pretty happy with how nice it looked outside on Monday when we got the inch. These small events are still nice. I'll be happy if we have an inch on the ground tomorrow morning.
  10. winterwx21
    Feels much better out there at 39 degrees with much less wind. I'm leaving now for deer hunting. I did not go the last 3 days ... there was no way in hell I was gonna sit up in a tree with 40mph winds and brutal wind chills, lol. But today isn't bad.
  11. winterwx21
    Yeah Euro had been the model showing almost nothing for many runs. Now that it's showing this, I'm more confident that we won't get just a dusting. Looks like a half inch to an inch. Hopefully we'll get an inch like we did on Monday.
  12. winterwx21
    That's a good bump up by the Euro. Hopefully Euro and HRRR are correct about our area getting an inch. It sucks that we aren't getting any bigger snowstorms, but at least we're getting several light events during the cold pattern.
  13. winterwx21
    Yeah we need a bigger storm soon or this will start to get annoying. It still is much better than getting nothing though. It appears that we still have a shot at getting an inch early tomorrow morning. Latest NAM went a little south, but 12z HRRR gives our area close to an inch. Hopefully we can pull off an inch rather than just a dusting.
  14. winterwx21
    Tonight's GFS says we get close to an inch. I really wish we could get something even just slightly better like a 2 to 4 inch event, but to me an inch is a lot better than nothing so I continue to root for it. I'll take a snowy early Saturday morning with an inch on the ground. Hopefully it'll happen. Right now a half inch to 1 inch looks like a good call. Euro has been showing almost nothing, so hopefully it'll improve tonight.
  15. winterwx21
    Both Nam models didn't look bad to me. They actually have some higher totals in northern NJ with some spots 1 to 2 inches. HRRR not as impressed with closer to a half inch for a lot of the area, but it's still very early for that model. I think overall the model trends are pretty good. Timing is good too with late night into early morning, and snow ratios look pretty good. We have a decent chance to get an inch. It looks pretty similar to Monday's event. Hopefully we'll get a bigger storm later in the month, but I'm glad we continue to nickel and dime our way to near normal snowfall with these light events during this cold pattern.
  16. winterwx21
    At least there's another potential storm on the maps. With consistent cold weather in January, you'd think we'd get lucky with something at some point.
  17. winterwx21
    I got 1 inch from the last event. If we can repeat that I'd gladly take it. A little snow is a lot better than no snow to me, but I know some snow lovers don't care about small events. We'll see about Saturday morning ... it could easily be just a dusting or nothing too.
  18. winterwx21
    Who knows why Tropical Tidbits made that error, but I don't use that site anyway. Pivotalweather is much better.
  19. winterwx21
    On Pivotalweather it correctly shows it as snow. GFS would be a half inch to 1 inch for most of the area. At this point it appears we're down to rooting for an inch like we got on Monday. I'll still be tracking this as long as we have a shot at a light snowfall.
  20. winterwx21
    Model runs tonight were not good. If they're right we're looking at just a coating, but there's still plenty of time. The chance of getting a moderate event has gone way down, but we can still bump this back up to a 1 to 2 inch event Saturday morning with the trough moving through. That would be nice. Hopefully the models tomorrow will beef it back up a bit. I'm not giving up.
  21. winterwx21
    But if it's consistent cold it's likely that at least light snowfall threats will pop up. We're not doing too bad with over 5 inches so far and likely a little more on the way for Saturday. I'll take a consistent cold pattern that at least gives us a chance.
  22. winterwx21
    Of course I want a bigger storm, but I'll gladly take another inch or two. At least the Euro gives us another light snowfall. Maybe this is the winter of numerous light snowfalls and we can nickel and dime our way to near normal snowfall. It beats a blowtorch winter. Looks like a below normal January after a below normal December. We haven't had a winter like this in awhile.
  23. winterwx21
    1 inch here as well. Nice little event! I'm leaving now for deer hunting. Great day to do it with snow on the ground. I love hunting with snow on the ground. I'm glad the light snow event ended up working out. The models did a good job showing around 1 inch for our area.
  24. winterwx21
    I think we're gonna get to just about 1 inch.
  25. winterwx21
    Decent burst of moderate snow here right now. Beautiful out there.
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