winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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HRRR went south on the 0z run. Only gets a coating up to our area. Hopefully it's off. That model has not been great this winter.
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Ukie not bad on the 18z run too. Gets 2 inches about up to our area. Everything seems on track for a 1 to 3 inch snowfall. I hope to see the HRRR start bumping north on the 0z run.
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Looks like a cold pattern for awhile after the weekend rain. Hopefully that cold air will set us up for some snow. Long range so who knows.
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Pretty much everything is showing 1 to 2 right now, except for the slightly more bullish NAM that shows a few inches. Still enough time for a north bump, but right now 1 to 3 looks like a good forecast. Maybe another inch or two Wednesday night before the mixing. This is the winter of numerous light snowfalls. Wish we could get a bigger snowstorm, but at least this beats a warm winter with almost no snow. Appears we're at least gonna nickel and dime our way to 20 inches for the winter which isn't terrible. Still hoping we get lucky with a bigger storm late month though.
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Euro just came north slightly. Pretty much every model tonight is giving our area close to 2 inches, so 1 to 3 looks like a good call right now. Hopefully tomorrow we'll get a slight north bump so we can up it to 2 to 4.
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We don't need a big shift to get into 3 to 6 though, just as a small shift can leave us with almost nothing. Still enough time. At least right now if the models hold we'll get a couple inches Tuesday night. It was good to see the GFS shift north.
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It will likely go to rain. RGEM only goes out to hour 84. At that point it's showing sleet, but it would likely change to rain shortly after that.
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That was some shoveling job. The inch and a half felt like 6 inches, and I had to chop to get under a lot of it. And the stuff from the plows up against the curb was extremely heavy. I got soaked with sweat just like I had gone for a run, lol. I enjoyed the work though.
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1.5" here. A lot of that accumulation is sleet. Wish we got more snow, but I gladly take it. Glad I will be able to shovel in the morning.
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Had some freezing rain mix in when the precip lightened up. Now back to heavy sleet.
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We haven't had any freezing rain yet here. VERY heavy sleet right now. 1 inch on the ground out there. More sleet than snow. A significant impact when you get this much sleet accumulation.
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Heavy snow now with a little sleet mixed in.
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I hope we get a bigger event at some point so we can end up at near average snowfall, but if that doesn't happen it at least appears we'll be able to nickel and dime our way to 20 inches. Below average but not terrible.
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I think it's too early to call it over. I don't think it will trend far enough north to give us a big snowstorm, but a few inches is certainly possible.
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Snow-sleet mix here. A solid coating out there.
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This morning you said the pattern favors a north trend. Hopefully this RGEM run is a good sign.
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HRRR definitely got better on the 21z run. What a difference between HRRR and NAM. Hopefully we can pull off a little thump, but who knows what's gonna happen. Talk about a difficult forecast.
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Yeah I wouldn't be surprised if we get just a half inch to inch of snow and then a good amount of sleet.
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Of course we have to wait and see if NAM wins. No other model is showing anything like what the 18z NAM is showing, but I think you have to lean towards it.
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We really need Tuesday to work out with Thursday looking like mostly rain. Hopefully we can get a north trend for Tuesday. We're on the edge right now which is close enough 3 days out.
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It definitely will. Even if this event ends up no snow and mostly sleet, it would be well over a half inch of sleet.
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I can't imagine how bad it is at the store this afternoon with everyone shopping before the storm and Super Bowl. I'm so glad I decided to go yesterday instead.
