winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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It did make it to 100 here today. Now down to 97. I see a few stations in north-central NJ made it to 101 or 102. Very impressive. Watching those storms in PA. Doesn't look like a big widespread event, but I'm hoping those storms heading towards Hunterdon County will make it our area. Radar looks pretty good right now.
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That map is for tomorrow, not today. We're expecting more widespread storms tomorrow.
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Already up to 96 here. Looks likely that we're going to hit 100 here.
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It's usually a safe bet that the 3km NAM is overdone, lol. That thing is INSANE.
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95 with a dew point of 72 here right now. Good chance we'll hit 99 or 100 tomorrow.
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Yeah not a surprise that SPC extended that slight risk well to the east on the last update. Those storms could make it close to our area.
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Yeah like you said we probably have to wait until Wednesday for our next storms, but you never know. Slight chance we could see another storm tonight, and I would also keep an eye on tomorrow night. The severe storms in PA tomorrow are supposed to fall apart before getting to us, but it's certainly possible that something could hold together for us tomorrow night.
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Just like Stormlover, I slept right through it early this morning. I was very surprised to see that I got 0.42" here. We really got lucky the last 2 days. Crazy how it worked out. All the potential and big hype for mid to late last week and we got almost nothing out of it, yet we got hit good the last 2 days when it was only a slim chance. You just never know ... it's freak luck with these summer storms. Anyway I'm glad we got a good amount of rain before the big heat.
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Looks like it's about over. 0.26" here from two quick downpours, about the same amount I got yesterday morning. Not bad. Didn't get the big storm that Allsnow got, but it was enough to give the vegetable garden another decent watering. It was important to get some rain before the big heat the next few days. I'm glad I won't have to water tomorrow.
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This one is pretty similar to the last one I got. At least between the 2 I'm getting enough rain for a decent watering.
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Yep pretty good downpour here again.
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Looks as if those downpours are extending north just enough that I should get something here shortly.
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Yeah it's looking great for you. Looks like this next round could be similar to the last one where I just get brushed while you get crushed again.
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Hoping that downpour in Somerset can extend north a little bit and hit my area in a little while. Looks like another close call.
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Yeah it developed just a shade too late for my area.
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Like Stormlover I'm jealous, but I'm glad you got hit. Great storm for you. Here I just had a quick little downpour with some thunder that delivered only 0.13". Better than nothing, but I wish I had gotten that great storm. Missed just a few miles to my southeast.
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Cell popped up pretty much on top of me. Starting to pour with thunder.
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Yep and that one is missing me to the south. South sky is dark and I can hear the thunder. Looks like that one will hit Allsnow.
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Missing to the north and south of course. Frustrating.
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I think we have a shot at 100 Tuesday, but obviously it's unlikely dews would be that high if the temp is that high. Very rare to get a dewpoint near 80 when the temp is that hot. Right now dewpoints are projected to be in the low 70s Tuesday afternoon, which still is horrendous with temps up close to 100. It probably will be the worst day of the summer.
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Nice that you got lucky. You just got into the edge of the more significant rain there in the eastern part of the County.
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Horrible. I did manage to get 0.24" this morning, which was just enough to water the garden. But what a bust for our area and a lot of New Jersey. I'm glad areas to the east that really needed the rain got hit, but this was very disappointing. For our area to not even get a half inch for the whole week is terrible considering all the potential the week had with the PWATS and forecasts for heavy rain. Really a shame that we didn't get the type of rain we needed before the big heat wave. Could be a few pop ups tomorrow, but I won't get my hopes up on that one. Maybe we'll actually have a decent severe threat late Wednesday since we'll actually have a good cold front breaking a heat wave for a change. We'll see, but for now very disappointed. We've had so many useless high humidity days that didn't yield storms so this summer, so I'm looking forward to the nice break in the humidity that we're gonna get for late week into next weekend. That'll be a nice change.
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Both NAM models went nuts for early tomorrow morning. It would be great to make up for the disappointing week with a deluge tomorrow morning, but who knows. HRRR has a decent batch of rain but nothing like the NAM models. I don't trust those overhyping NAM models, but I don't trust the inconsistent HRRR too. It'll be interesting to see what happens, but I'll be very irritated if we don't at least get a decent half inch soaking. We really need some rain before the big heat wave.
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At this point I'd be very happy to get a half inch tomorrow morning to give my vegetable garden a much-needed watering. HRRR on the 0z run is still giving us a pretty good batch of rain for early in the morning. Late tonight into early morning continues to look like our best chance of the week, but this week has been such a disappointment. It certainly wouldn't be a surprise if tomorrow morning disappoints as well.
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Yeah both NAM models are bad. HRRR is bad. Who knows. All we can do it keep an eye on radar.
