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H2O

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Everything posted by H2O

  1. For all this model stuff being nice to see, proof is in the pudding. Lets see if/when it happens and then maybe the models will start to sniff out threats
  2. I said about a week ago that if there is to be any ATL blocking it helps if it’s NAO because we need the road blocked closer to us than Norway. Gimme a jack knifed semi with 50/50 and that can buckle PAC flow enough
  3. Nothing can replace the CRAS. CRAS4LYFE
  4. They did all they could to let the giants win but got the W
  5. 18° at 6pm steady fall all day.
  6. @Bob Chilli should have caveat’d to say so far this winter GFS has done better with NAO vs AO. Obviously both being neg is preferable but I guess I like NAO more cause it jams up the ATL closer to us which for me means HPs can’t slide east so quick. We’ve had AOs be neg but be in locations that don’t help as much. Basically I want anything that gives us snow. AO, NAO, PNA, WPO, DIY, WTF, SOS. Gnat farts in Mongolia work too
  7. Is it just me or by looking at those graphs , the models do a lot better with the NAO than AO. personally I rather have a NAO in our favor. But if PNA is ridic neg we gonna need a bottlenecked Atlantic to make PAC stuff slow down and give us events
  8. For MBY in the tropics we def lost a lot of snow due to temps. If we hadn’t torched during the day it would have accumulated better. This could have been a 2-3” deal if ground wasn’t as warm. Shady areas already icy cause now temps falling
  9. My temp has gone up from 39 to 40. Dew 31. This looks like rain in Georgetown is a lock
  10. Still expecting 1” only. Boom is 2, bust is flizzard
  11. I’d love to see the precip expanded all the way to short pump to feel good about this one. If it did that then NE MD can get PUMMELED
  12. It might work out, it might not. I have 70/30 fail to win ratio. Until it starts we just won’t know
  13. Southern end precip getting cut back as models home in on clipper transfer and coastal pop. Trend has been drier for DC south along 95 but if I get a dusting to 1” I’ll take it and quietly wish it was more
  14. Looks like a bunch of y’all are in live and die mode for every model run. Gets fcking tedious. Whatever falls falls.
  15. I can’t wait to wake up Sunday and see the silent majesty of a winters morn, the cool chill of holiday air and the asshole salt trucks dumping chemicals all over the DMV
  16. I think i saw a couple flurries
  17. I'm no euro hugger but even that mutes the ridge blob by xmas and doesn't have it as far east as the GFS. And AN temps are low 50s so thats fine.
  18. New thread jinx and the shitters full.
  19. JFC the model flipped 3 times yesterday for what it showed on Xmas. I trust it as much as i trust the Commanders defense to stop my kids high school offense. Could it be 70s? Sure. Could it be 33 and rain? Sure But until the pattern sets for any length of time I'll dust off the oldie but goodie "we just won't know"
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