Is it just me or by looking at those graphs , the models do a lot better with the NAO than AO.
personally I rather have a NAO in our favor. But if PNA is ridic neg we gonna need a bottlenecked Atlantic to make PAC stuff slow down and give us events
For MBY in the tropics we def lost a lot of snow due to temps. If we hadn’t torched during the day it would have accumulated better. This could have been a 2-3” deal if ground wasn’t as warm.
Shady areas already icy cause now temps falling
Southern end precip getting cut back as models home in on clipper transfer and coastal pop. Trend has been drier for DC south along 95 but if I get a dusting to 1” I’ll take it and quietly wish it was more
I can’t wait to wake up Sunday and see the silent majesty of a winters morn, the cool chill of holiday air and the asshole salt trucks dumping chemicals all over the DMV
JFC the model flipped 3 times yesterday for what it showed on Xmas. I trust it as much as i trust the Commanders defense to stop my kids high school offense. Could it be 70s? Sure. Could it be 33 and rain? Sure
But until the pattern sets for any length of time I'll dust off the oldie but goodie "we just won't know"