H2O

We are Horta #teamhorta

This looks like a sleet pattern

No one was worried about suppression yesterday. Two days ago, yes. But all day yesterday it was C Va jack with only the gfs south and it was still a good storm

Once the cut off gets more data and the other pieces into place it will be interesting if there are adjustments as we get closer. Getting a good front end thump will help offset the flip

I fucking don't. Sorry. Again I hope your area gets good snow. I hope we all do. But if shit has to get amped just so you can get 24" while I get 4 and slop then it will not be as fun for a lot of people

I've been saying this for 2 days. Suppression was least likely and too amped/north is the risk. A phase is really not gonna be good for a significant part of the area. Warm layers will mess things up and totals will be cut way back

Convos will be made to have a much tighter model thread and a separate banter one for people to post stuff like "GIMME!" and "KEEP COMING NORTH"

You just have to mentally add up the QPF shade for each 6 hour panel and there's your total. This isn't that difficult, StormtrasherRandy

All these teenagers posting. Does this place even check IDs and card anymore? Sheesh Worst bouncers ever

Thermals creeping N on this run and need to see if they crash after Hr129

Given how this winter and the last few have gone I'd gladly take HALF of what the CMC just said and call it a good storm

Of course. I also remember the beautiful clown maps from the NOGAPS

I love the SV maps. I also have a fondness for the old school CMC/GEM maps with neige and pluie and neige fondue

I think he's more right than wrong. Phones know

Yup. What the models showed yesterday with it being mostly NS energy meant a quicker storm with that sliding by first with its WAA that everyone worried about being smushed. If the NS and SS merge then it slows it all down, allows it to crank, and while the WAA gets more robust it also has a longer SE/E fetch off the oceans. A strong HP to the north helps but thats only at the very low levels for the coastal plain. Upstairs the warm layer will smash in to the fall line. Feb 04 a good example. Was a nice storm for DC but had sleet for hours until ULL swung thru

Dear boss, Eat me Signed, the same boss I'm retired. My productivity can be shit and I still get paid.

I said this yesterday before this thread was started. If the euro phase does happen then suppression is gone and it will be more adjusting north over time. That opens the door to warm noses punching in. The mix line already shifted north bigly. So now the places that looked solidly all snow for the duration will get pingers which always gets up to DC. North crew is greedy and will be happy while DC south sleet. Warm layers always go in more than modeled.

17

IDGAF. I’ll go ahead and deb the storm. We have to know if it’s gonna rain in Georgetown while the MoCo death band goes 20”

TBH I knew 2 names but googled to get the rest

Did you try sprint or Nextel or MCI OR Cingular?

He’s short enough most waitresses let him order off the kiddie menu which has cheaper prices

The GFS is an important weather model. It isn’t always totally wrong. It isn’t always right. It shows one of many possibilities that have to be considered. If its wheelhouse is closer to 4 days then tomorrow it can cave or drag others towards it. Or the models meet in. The middle and gives a decent snow