CAPE
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Best Mid-Atlantic winter storm of the last 50 years
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Dec 2009, because it was KU that occurred before Xmas(very unusual) and it kicked off the best snow season of my lifetime. Modoki Nino with epic NA Blocking that developed early and sustained through winter. My answer may have been different earlier but at this juncture that's the one lol. -
That's way too far out for an extended product. Stick with the early Dec period- much more likely to have a clue. H5 for the first week of Dec continues to look good: -NAO, which as modeled on the ens runs develops in mid/late Nov but with a bit of a hostile Pac, is still present with big improvement in the PNA/EPO domain.
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Peak to past peak here, but still plenty of leaves yet to fall. Spent a few hours today blowing/raking to keep ahead of it.
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Maybe a couple hundredths. Fine with me as I have a ton of leaves to blow. Nice and dry..
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The Ravens weren't very good that season and missed the playoffs, but that game was wild in the snow.
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Imo the extended products are 'useful' a week to 10 days beyond day 15 of the latest ens runs. Beyond that.. crapshoot.
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31 first freeze!
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Today's edition of the Weeklies for the mid Dec period- hey we can dream a little right? Why not be optimistic heading into the first third of winter. Easy to be pessimistic.
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We need to restart that early Dec snow heater. Been too long.
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Its lazy. They roll that shit out every Fall.
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LOL that's boilerplate climo. Lazy af. It's what most of these local mets do every Fall. How many times has that worked out east of the mountains since 2016? Hint- coastal areas have gotten above normal snow more times than not- that's well more than 0-6 lol.
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Advertised h5 on the latest Euro Weeklies for the beginning of winter(Dec). -NAO/50-50 low, TPV in a good spot + EPO ridge. That pattern is sustained/improves a bit through mid month, fwiw ofc.
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This is a longwave pattern that could produce some decent snow in the mountains and possibly first flakes for places east of there around Veteran's day.
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He pretty much said the same thing last year lol. Hopefully Elias has been given an ultimatum this time- spend the fucking money and make this team a winner baby.
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Looks good to me dude, although it is Happy Hour lol. I know you have the CAPE right. But seriously, looks good. I am sure you found the resources on YouTube that do a great job explaining Skew T plots. That's how I solidified all that stuff in my head.
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I think he is a decent prospect but literally has no playing time as a pro. Why not get Zietler back via trade?
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Speaking of dying on a hill, the Ravens failed(not sure they event attempted it) to improve their pathetic OG play via trade. The delusional belief that Faalele is any good(Vorhees isnt much better) may very well be the difference between making and missing the playoffs- not to mention compromising the health of Lamar while in the pocket trying to make plays downfield.
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This country is FUBAR politically but this just isn't the place for effecting change. Many agree with your positions but it is also completely futile to try to convince the rest. So what's the point?
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That far out in the future on the seasonal models is strictly for entertainment purposes. Hell most of the time the operational/ens LR models are as well at D15.
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Yeah that's just wrong lol. I will say, as good as he has played early in his career, I question how durable he can be with that lanky build.
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Flacco was incredible yesterday for the Bengals, but he found out, like Burrow, that regardless of how amazing you are on offense, having one of the worst defenses in NFL history is very difficult to overcome.
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He wasn't playing and when he did he sucked. Didn't work out. Good riddance. Hopefully a prelude to some bigger moves- need help in the trenches on both sides of the ball.
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Looks like a boring zonal flow with a broad flat ridge sets up this week. Not torchy, but a bit on the mild side- 60s/40s with maybe a day or 2 around 70. Beyond that it looks changeable on the means- maybe a cool shot followed by a milder period again. Maybe trending colder mid month and beyond, but that's a couple weeks out.
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Keep in mind there are places in our forum that have gotten a foot of snow since 2016, even excluding the western highlands. Oddly its been the low elevation far eastern areas, multiple times. In my yard I have had multiple events in the 6-10" range. Not quite a 'footer'.
