CAPE

Dude you got nothing. You keep coming back to that which is nonsensical, and you still don't get the point of me mentioning that. Fuck man, take a break.

That's not what they said. You aren't very bright. "a tenth of an inch or less except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms" is standard wording when storms are expected to be isolated to scattered, but not widespread- as in a consolidated QLCS line. Models were indeed depicting the former. Try again? Maybe take the L and move on. Then try harder to become a decent poster.

LOL You claimed that pro Mets working at a NWS forecast office must be smoking crack based on correctly updating their previous forecast, because YOU didn't agree. You. who have zero credentials(nor ability as a hobbyist) to properly interpret model guidance. Keep digging dude.

I have a 'rating', but I'll keep it to myself.

lol that was a dig at you. There's something lacking when a poster is known only for applying excessive weenie emotes. I did suggest maybe try harder to become more productive. Again, carry on.

I wonder what the cause of that could be

That's not how it went down. Nothing here about a weenie. You got annoyed(bent out of shape) because you said something ridiculous and I called you out. IDGAF about an emote. You do the weenie thing constantly though, because- you butthurt boy. Carry on being a shit poster.

Dude you weenie everyone who doesn't agree with your takes (usually wrong) in every thread. It's YOU getting butthurt. Carry on being an annoying crappy poster who contributes nothing of substance.

You are in here acting like a child because you don't like the observations of others. It's pretty clear based on guidance and actual forecasts that this will not be a widespread rainfall for the region that will have a meaningful impact on the drought. Some locales have/will get lucky with some rain. Disagree?

Best chance of heavier showers developing is probably this afternoon into the evening with these weak upper level disturbances moving through and coinciding with peak heating.

Mr. weenie all posts is gonna die on this ant hill

0.00 here Mount Holly realized their forecast yesterday morning was waaay too bullish given the weakly forced environment for this 'event'. Decent PWAT and some afternoon heating along with the weak front moving through is pretty much all this has going for it. There will probably be some localized heavy showers and maybe a rumble of thunder in a few spots but many locations will see little to nothing.

You are a generally horrible poster. Try and work on that. I wish you luck.

Mount Holly has really struggled forecasting reasonable rain totals lately. They were too aggressive on Tuesday, and this morning the forecast here was for 1-1.5" total through tomorrow. Given we are in an extreme drought you would think they would be more conservative. Updated forecast is a tenth or less for today, tonight, and tomorrow, 'except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms'. That's what it should have been in the first place, given the modeled scattered nature of the rain, and that drought begets drought (positive feedback loop).

I only need 1.6"

Posted this in the old thread but its dead. Impressive straight-line wind damage the Tuesday night south of me. Apparently a tractor trailer was overturned as well.

From Mount Holly- 0656 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 SSE Wye Mills 38.93N 76.08W 06/22/2026 Talbot MD NWS Storm Survey Several thunderstorms crossed through the region on the evening of June 22, 2026. While there were multiple wind damage reports, the most intense path of damage was near Wye Mills to Cordova with a storm that crossed through near 7 PM. Damage was noted beginning along Old Wye Mills Road where multiple trees had been uprooted. A discontinuous path of damage continued towards the southeast. Along Newtown Road, multiple trees were snapped, with an estimated maximum wind speed of 90 to 100 mph, the highest estimated wind speed along the entire path. Near Saulsbury, a center pivot irrigation system was overturned. Damage path continued with additional damage, primarily tree damage, reported along Blades Road and Asches Acres Road. I saw some sporadic tree damage driving through that area yesterday morning headed to work. Most of the major damage was just to the west/NW .

Yes they are. 2 steps forward, 5 steps back. They just aren't very good. That being said, other than about 3 teams, the AL completely sucks.

LOL how funny is it that 'Green Water Solutions' was one of the 2 contractors hired to do the makeover. No bid federal contracts FTL.

Did you see your reflection?

Yesterday was decent, but much less than forecast. Today was very underwhelming. 0.92" total. Its a start, but need to keep it coming. Go dry for 3-4 days this time of year in an extreme drought and back to square one.

As predicted 0.71" here. A mild ding dent in the extreme drought. A little over an inch here for the month. Need tomorrow to deliver. Ridgely Mesonet recorded 1.24" 3 miles SW of here

Radar indicated tornado Talbot/Southern Caroline county

Wye Mills mesonet 1.7" Ridgely an inch so far

I am right in it on the northern edge here. Hoping to salvage a half inch or so. Places just south are likely going to get 1-2"