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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CFS did get the AO/NAO right. It was persistently showing blue up top leading into winter, and continued that look. It failed miserably with the EPO. Even after the Pac pattern emerged and became stable, the CFS kept insisting on a big EPO ridge delivering cross polar flow, with a trough in the east. It has been playing catch up over the last month.
  2. You already know how this ends up lol. We will, however, have our third straight cold/dry weekend following another mild week. Rinse and repeat,
  3. 22 here. The forecast low was 30. Dry air and clear skies ftw.
  4. Mount Holly Snippet- LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Overall, our pattern of warm, wet, cold, dry continues this week. Yup. The beat goes on. Although the cold part is debatable.
  5. ^I should have made that my profile photo a month ago.
  6. @psuhoffman Outside of something transient/bootleg, are there any cases where there was a sustained -NAO while the AO was persistently positive? I would think not, or very rarely.
  7. Yeah this winter the SPV has been a consolidated monster, and it has coupled down to the troposphere. Not much is going to overcome that. Maybe perfect forcing in the Pac that produces a persistent PNA ridge. We would have a fighting chance if that were the case. Not so this winter. Not even close.
  8. For those who were not aware, they certainly should be after this winter. A persistent +AO is death to snow chances in our region. Only way to somewhat mitigate it is a persistent and strong EPO ridge.
  9. A large portion of the region also had a snowless Jan, aside from a trace. And outside of NW areas, very little in Dec. But yeah, it's generally how we roll.
  10. At least the GFS op has teased with a potential hail mary event on recent runs. Yesterday it looked like maybe around the 5th. The 6z run now has one on the 9th. Clipper incoming at hour 384!
  11. Yes mid month and into March was a great period.
  12. I think we had the epic poetry thread that year too. Or maybe it was 2014. Fun times.
  13. Just browsing through that thread. Those were the days.
  14. Its here- That was the winter Boston had over 100", much of it coming in Feb.
  15. It wasn't your typical rant. It was ROFL stuff.
  16. lol it was extremely creative. Guess I will have to dig up that thread now.
  17. No post by anyone here will ever match Jebman's epic Boston snow rant from 2015. A true classic.
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