CAPE

peakbagger.com is a very cool site too. It has topo maps, identifies the highest spots in every county of every state and tells you how to get to it.

No lol. The microscale elevation differences don't factor in around here when it comes to snowfall. The interior/upper shore does better because that region is a bit further north, not close to either bay, and is far enough removed from the ocean influence for winter storms that take a favorable track. My yard is almost always colder than Easton, and does better with snow esp in marginal events. I have been commuting to Easton for many years and it's interesting to see the bay influence locally, most notable during winter.

Yes just east of that general area. Chapel Rd and even running south of there. There are some spots 70+ feet.

They tend to get in up top. I actually sprayed the facia and the eaves/vents this year, and they didn't show up lol. I also wonder if they have been getting in at the ridge vent, because if they do, they are essentially in the house as I have no attic. One good indicator is none have come in through the chimney. Usually when I open the door on the wood stove insert there are bunches in there, dead and alive. Opened it the other day and not a one.

I usually see them all over the sunny side of the house in early Fall. Usually see them for weeks when the days are warm but getting shorter. I may have seen 5 total this year. Major difference. Hopefully something in nature adapted or the farmers eradicated them with insecticide. I will know soon enough. I usually see plenty in the house during winter.

Pretty drive in this morning with heavy frost covering the landscape. Really gave the impression of a coating of snow.

24.5 Probably as low as it will go.

There actually is a "high" area east of town. Probably 60-70 feet, and the town is 30 or so. It's all relative on the eastern shore. I think the highest spot on the eastern shore is north of Chestertown. 100 feet or so. Usually when you see elevations of over 100 feet, it's a landfill lol.

25 at 5am. Might drop a bit more towards sunrise.

Just hit 32 here at 730. eta- 30.5 at 8pm. First legit freeze. Radiating well here.

Down to 34 at 6pm. That ties the lowest temp here so far this fall.

High of 42 here. Currently 38.

The NAO 'goes like +2' every winter. Not interesting. Now a -2 otoh..

34 again this morning. First freeze tonight maybe. Forecast low of 26. I'll take the over.

Yeah we have had leftover slushy slop on the ground, and snow a day or so later, but not any cases of a legit white xmas in my lifetime. I would defo take 13-14 over 15-16.The latter was a wretched torch winter with basically one week of legit winter and a big score. Epic tracking period but it was 60 degrees a few days later. I like to get out and enjoy it and it was sloppy muck before I could. Blah.

Ya killin' me here. (No pun intended, reaper.) Given the rarity of December snow in these parts, and the romantic nature of it, I would have to go with (1). Tough one!

So you are predicting a neutral-slightly negative NAO overall for the winter months?

That is one impressively large area of "warm" 2m temp anomalies. Not sure I would pay much attention to that 4-6 weeks out. Advertised h5 height anomalies are probably marginally better at that range, but still plenty of uncertainty.

Speaking of happy(hour), this is doing the trick right now.

I would take the annual average snowfall at Davis, spread out over 4 winters, in a series of 4-6" events, and be damn happy.

Ravens signed former Seahawk TE Luke Willson. Solid move. Especially considering they were down to one tight end with Boyle out for the season. I expect we will see the versatile Patrick Ricard lining up more at TE as well.

Pretty decent fwiw. I tend to take a peak at the week beyond D15, just to see how things look. All low skill at that range ofc. Latest Euro weeklies are meh, at least from what I can glean from the really bad h5 graphics on the freebie site. Probably similar enough to the GEFS for the first week or so of Dec, but has at least some weak ridging in the east.

Truth vs. truthiness. It can be quite the struggle for some. I can say I prefer the truthiness when it comes to snow in my yard.

Wearing masks and socially distancing minimizes the risk. Until a vaccine is widely available, and even beyond, science says this is a simple, effective, and selfless measure we can all take to minimize spread. This is what we got, and all protocols should emanate from this.

QBO phase influences the strength of the SPV. The impacts it has on the stratosphere do not necessarily couple down to the troposphere. The TPV and SPV are distinctly separate entities.