CAPE

A chase would have been nice, but my expectations going back a week or so was that we would be back in the game for the last week or so of the month. That still looks good. If this works out, it is a bonus given it is literally occurring at the initial stages of a significant pattern change.

Last winter. Maybe not much below, but solidly below and esp wrt to areas nearby. Failed pretty much every way possible given the opportunities.

The goal is a "nearby" chase. If this goes to complete crap and ends up being exclusively a NY state/NE deal, I will stay home, enjoy my 20 mins of sleet, and drink high gravity stouts.

Looks like I will set my sights on Lancaster now. Probably be Mt Pocono in another run or 2.

This is generally my feeling. Some say bring the qpf and take their chances on cold. Ofc this is completely an IMBY game, and if ya live on the coastal plain, having an antecedent cold air mass in place is usually key to getting a legit snow event.

Luckily the GFS depiction of the baroclinic zone being in the vicinity of Bermuda is probably not correct lol.

My initial chase plan is Gettysburg. Subject to change based on future runs.

Thump is legit. Pretty close to 12z.

Euro says It might be time for a beach chase next week.

Just another op run at range but nice to continue to see looks like this one. Verbatim it gives us some snow from a clipper. Roll that forward and it might be snowing in the SE.

Keep an eye on the secondary coastal development. 0z GEFS is pretty aggressive with this feature, and a bit further south than the EPS. Could extend wintry precip by keeping the lower levels colder, esp for interior/northern areas.

This is pretty happy hour-ish.

Until it trends north as usual.

I noticed that. The classic h5 look period is right where we want it at this juncture though on the means.

I am considering it. NE PA looks like a decent spot and isn't too far.

Chiefs are fully equipped to come back from a big early deficit. In their 12 game winning streak, the Ravens have very rarely(if ever) been down by more than one TD. Lamar needs to work on his deep outside throws, and the Ravens need another legit deep threat. Cant always do it over the middle with the TEs. Kind of amazing it took this long to expose that one dimensional aspect of the passing game. That being said, Roman abandoned the running game way too early. Not sure it would have made much difference with Ingram severely limited though. OL played poorly, and Gus needs an opening to get rolling.

Yeah HH not so happy. Another op run down. Next.

To be expected. Cyber trash talking is easy. Titans fans will be severely disappointed in the end- never sniffed a SB victory, and they wont this time either. Well they did once, but they failed. One damn yard. I feel so sad for them.

I am sure they fully understand that. They had too much time off. In retrospect, resting so many key players against the Steelers was a bad idea. I had a really bad feeling since then. Add to that the Ingram injury, and Andrews being severely limited, and it spelled trouble playing a Titans team on a big time roll. Ravens weakness all season has been downfield throws to WRs on the outside. Credit Pees for minimizing the opportunities to the TEs over the middle. Work to be done. Good news is, the core offensive players will return, and it looks like Wink and Roman will both be back. This is a young team that by all measures overachieved this season. No one expected the level of consistency/domination they exhibited during the regular season.

Arm/hand yes. Lower body no.

Lets see what Watson is made of. Great big game college player. Time to do it in the big boy league.

I hate the 'new' interpretation of that rule. He was beyond the LoS.

Ma-home-boy doing his best Lamar imitation. God damn Ravens. Drink