CAPE

Super gross.

Isn't this dude worth like 7 bn? Da fuk is he doing in some sleazy day spa in Florida?

It was fine lol. But Ji would be like- cutters and sliders and it didn't give us a flake!

Lol Robert Kraft. Patriot haters(most of the world) are gonna have a field day with this.

I'll just fill in for Ji here. 12z GFS is a DISASTER.

There continues to be a signal for a coastal, maybe a legit miller A, for around the 2nd. Lots of moving parts and timing involved as usual, especially with the TPV lobes rotating down.

Some of us actually know how to use the guidance as a tool, and understand they are not a means for instant gratification. The Ji freak outs are because he wants the latter.

That's pretty good stuff. 5.2 and 2.7 are the biggest events for me.

Hard to get tired of something I have only had one of. Unless its something like Murphy's Stout.

I have liked the chance of a sneaky event mid-late next week. There have been hints on the ops and the ensembles. Most likely it would be on the light side and probably favor coastal areas just to the NE of our region, but worth keeping an eye on.

You mean over the next 6 days? This is hardly a shocking development.

Nailed it. This is how it would actually go down.

I'm about to get busy at work. Will be teaching classes all day for the next couple weeks. I will be looking forward to your @ CAPE posts to keep me updated on the latest model fantasies, or disasters. Reel me in a legit snowstorm for once this winter.

No need for AA drinking that stuff. Its practically non-alcoholic. Imagine drinking 6 of those things.

Yeah I didn't think about the possibility of starting a mini panic when I made that post lol. In all seriousness, we do want some degree of suppression, and we want to see some southern sliders in the mix at range. It would be kinda 'funny' though if this is our last hurrah and it ends up another NC hit. Would make it a bookend season for them.

Yeah I noticed that. Of course given there likely will be TPV lobes in the neighborhood during this period, we certainly wouldn't want to end our winter the same way it started.

0z EPS has a pretty decent signal for a coastal low March 2-3 time frame. Glancing through the members, the mid next week deal is there, but minor/weak for the most part. For March 2-3 there are some decent hits and near misses among the members. Not a bad signal for 9 days out.

No dice on the big snowstorm from the 12z run for the following weekend though- too much separation between the NS and SS energy, so just a blob of rain that slides off the SE coast. Minor details on an op run at range lol. Plenty of potential for this period.

0z Euro more energetic with the NS shortwave for mid/late next week. Pops a little surface low off the coast and clips NE part of our region, gives southern/central NJ a few inches of snow this run.

Your area is probably closer to 20.

Probably a near hit. We are good at those.

Today was a nickel I guess lol. 1.0" Total 10.6"

I don't necessarily need climo snowfall for it to be considered a "good winter". The problem this winter is all the inch or less nickel/dime slop crap that provide zero enjoyment, but do add up to pad numbers. That includes today's inch. There have been 2 decent events here where I have gotten out and enjoyed the snow. That is below par for my idea of a good winter, and my standards aren't very high.

No they shouldn't. Mostly hyperbole now anyway with the twitter crew etc. I am not too picky, and I know my climo. It does get to be a little frustrating when most events fail to the point that there is not much to experience or enjoy. I have had 2 this winter where I got out and hiked and really enjoyed it. But mostly its been nickel and dime slop. That's how it goes though. Last 2 winters the enjoyment factor was much higher here. It sucked for others in our region though. Weather does what it does, and you just have to roll with it.

Yeah this should bode well for Harper. I kinda thought Manny would take the WS deal, but then this came out of nowhere. I know the Sox are not very good and in rebuilding mode, but SD isn't much better I don't think. So yeah maybe the weather and the culture out there was more appealing. I always thought he would end up with an up and coming team like Atlanta or Philly. From the SD perspective, its probably a good deal. He is young, and would likely still be very productive at the end of the deal. Plus a really good draw.