CAPE
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If not for work I might have gone to central NC and visited my brother for a chase. Enhanced risk there.
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But dry as a bone now! EJ nailed it.
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Temp has been stuck at 38 here since yesterday afternoon. Looks like the heaviest rain will be farther south per latest guidance. Not surprising given the temp gradient/battleground is further south. .Strong upper jet and best lift looks to be just SE of the region.
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Yes. Decent chance we see some snow in December.
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Is that the mean or median? Ground truth reality - most winters you probably could count on a 66% reduction.
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lol I bet you think models are a fraud and a waste of taxpayer money too. Unsolvable riddles!
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Thanks. It might be for sale soon. Seriously. Any takers?
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Yeah frozen soil has been sparse. Love it, but man hard to come by this year. I take a stroll in my yard and my shoes come off and stay out on the deck for a while.
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Pretty incoherent, but I think I get it. No one here gives a shiit what you derive satisfaction from. Tell us more about how "inaccurate" platinum RTDs are to blame for DCA UHI.
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Well it's somewhat different up there with more elevation and a better drained red clay/rocky soil. Over here the upland and lowland(poorly drained) soils are not separated much in elevation. Thus the generally high water table. eta- Speaking of the upper eastern shore. The lower shore, although even flatter, has much less heavy clay, is more sandy, and drains better.
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Those are all good. I would also seriously consider Nova Scotia or New Brunswick.
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It's pretty much recharged here over the past few months since the drought. Easy to tell by the ditches and in the areas with heavy soil- water table breaks the surface and just ponds there until Spring. If the forecasted 2-3" materializes it will be pretty wet around here.
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I think I'm gonna crack open a WWS and pore over the guidance in anticipation of the coming deluge. Flood watch!
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Only weather we got. Looks like 2-3" for my yard. Stoked!
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He is touring with Bowie.
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Still have Prince tho
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At least we get a couple of seasonally chilly days, before we ramp back up to our next torch period. Gotta take what you can get in a historically abysmal winter.
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The advertised LR pattern on all guidance really isn't budging. It is the antithesis of what we want for cold and snow here. As for sensible weather, there is no reason to expect anything different than more of the same. Even lucking into a fluke event seems remote.
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I was never enthused about that trailing wave, given how flat and progressive the flow is at that time, and it being right on the heels of the big event. Not surprised at all to see early AM runs all but kill it. Could come back though, as until the stronger wave(s) get out of the way, the spacing and potential for a bit more dig will be difficult for guidance to resolve.
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Since he likes to post maps, I suggested we let him start his own WB map thread. That way it won't clog up the main threads, and the rest of us can just cancel our WB subscription and save some $$.
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It has shown it once a day for the past week and then the very next run is all rain and 60 I think the 12z Euro had the entire region pushing/exceeding 70 next Wed. Even torched NE. Op runs..
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Certainly possible. A lot of action to get through before we get to that wave.
