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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Yes the 12z EPS sucked. Still time. Still chances. It's good to not have time for the atomic level analysis of each and every run. Refreshing.
  2. CAPE
    It certainly did for the eastern part of the region.
  3. CAPE
    We fling the 'off runs' when they don't show what we want. Yoder rule maybe?
  4. CAPE
    Not much time for tracking lately, but looks like the trend is colder/further south. A skiff of snow would be nice to start the stretch run, or stumble, as the case may be.
  5. CAPE
    You mean e8, not e7?
  6. CAPE
    My yard needs this ending. Thanks in advance for your sacrifice.
  7. CAPE
    No disasters or trainwrecks ?
  8. CAPE
    I'm totally not curious. It was gonna rain in my yard. On to the the next run.
  9. CAPE
    When I was a kid I used to crab near the Key Bridge with my uncle, pretty close to Beth Steel. Talk about big (toxic) crabs. Ahh to be young and dumb.
  10. CAPE
    November looks awful on cfs Good. Zero snow in November. Then maybe we have a chance.
  11. CAPE
    All the usual caveats apply.. day 10+ yada, yada, but this is a nice look on the mean. Now we wait for the inevitable incremental DEGRADATION on future runs, lol.
  12. CAPE
    At least after the crappy 0z run we are back to the general idea of 12z yesterday for the day 10-12 period. Probably better today actually, as there are more SE hits- the mean 2" line is way down into south-central NC, which is not a bad thing at this range.
  13. CAPE
    Starting tomorrow I wont have much time to look at the models, which is a good thing lol. Maybe while I am not looking our "go big" event will start to come together. Nice to be surprised sometimes.
  14. CAPE
    Looks like the rain is over for now. 0.90". Temp is up to 40. Just needs to rise another 26 degrees to get to the forecast high.
  15. CAPE
    Sure. I mean even next weekend cant be written off.. its still 6+ days away. If recent trends on the guidance are correct with a more western position of the tpv as it drops south, it opens the door for a phase with Pac energy, per some of the 0z runs, and even if it doesn't go to that extreme, it would allow for a storm to track to our NW. Could also end up further east and suppress the storm track some and work in our favor. This outcome is more likely for the period beyond next weekend IMO.
  16. CAPE
    With the amount of mildew and moss around here it feels like I have relocated to the UK.
  17. CAPE
    Same result though. The advertised upper air pattern on pretty much all guidance looks awful for frozen potential now for next weekend. Probably time to look towards the 4-5th and hope that doesn't slip away too lol.
  18. CAPE
    Pouring again.
  19. CAPE
    0.73" here 3.40" for the month
  20. CAPE
    Oh look. More heavy cold rain. The beat goes on..
  21. CAPE
    Just some subtle differences for next Saturday compared to a few days ago. Oh how we love the LR eta- I know the second panel is the EPS, It actually looks a little more torchy than the op lol.
  22. CAPE
    Yes and I tried to warn you about this.
  23. CAPE
    I looked at no 0z runs, and slept like a baby. Looking at the train wreck now. Got your coffee? Lets chase our upcoming Spring pattern.
  24. CAPE
    lol Weren't we just here at this time yesterday morning? TPV gets too far west on recent guidance, and the Euro/EPS/GEFS pretty much all have it phasing with that strong piece of energy moving in off the PAC.
  25. CAPE
    We are so awesome at wind. Only heat can beat it.
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