CAPE
-
Posts
36,279 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CAPE
-
Disagree all you want, but verbatim surface temps are mid to upper 30s along/east of I-95 for several hours.
-
Those surface maps are not accurate, for the umteenth time. The 6z GFS is a classic NW of fall line snowstorm, with some mixing on the SE edge. For DC to BWI points east, the surface gets toasty for a good part of Wed, and 925 mb temps are also problematic. 850s actually look ok this run. I-95 and east will need some serious dynamical cooling during the day Wed to overcome the warming lower levels, and then hope the backside delivers at night as the low pulls away from the coast.
-
Yeah I cant recall why that band rapidly weakened as it moved east. Kind of unusual for the big storms around here. 1996 had an incredible CCB after the sleety period. I ended up with 15" before the dry slot hit, but it sucked because I wanted the 20+ I was promised.
-
Not over here. It shriveled to nothing as it moved east. We dry slotted and never got more than a dusting after that.
-
Oh it happens in pretty much all the biggies.(excluding the 2016 debacle).This one will be on the move and mostly to the NE, so it would likely be pretty brief.
-
I used to be there, many years ago now...lol. Our winter storms are often not your winter storms, and vice versa. Climo snow avg here beats DC at least
-
Yup thats what I have been expecting all along. I am hoping for the back end thump with the deform band per the 12z op run.. Anything at the front end will be washed away most likely.
-
18z EPS is a touch colder at 850 and surface overall- the duration of above 0 850 temps is shorter compared to 12z. My yard only gets to a max of 41at the surface compared to 43 at 12z lol. Trending!
-
I thought it looked a tad weaker too. Not sure what it means later. Might be noise. Overall everything looked the same.
-
There really should be no "bar", or threshold for disappointment, when most of us did not even crack an inch last winter.
-
Looked almost the same as the Euro op to me.
-
Yours is coming in Jan. Its become a Nina tradition. We just need to get rid of this silly fake Nino-ish pattern. I will be chasing, as always.
-
Is DT back with a sock? WTF?
-
You are gonna get fringed on this one.
-
At least SNE gets pummeled.
-
Now THAT is a forum divider.
-
Me too. I am at -8.
-
GFS PARA and ICON have been pretty similar.
-
Nice! That is how its done.
-
I'm good. I live on the central eastern shore at an elevation of 60 feet. We rain.
-
..to not a single flake lmao.
-
Eh its one GFS op run. There were also hints on the EPS though. I am in good shape because my expectations were already super low.
-
HH GFS is going to send the entire board into a drinking binge.
-
He called for a back loaded winter. And I don't think anyone doubts he is knowledgeable. That is not the issue.
-
A girl has no name?
