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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. I'm a year away realistically. I usually have no problems chasing. Not gonna happen this week. I would be heading to Gettysburg for this one if I could.
  2. I have long since run out of models to hug for this one. CMC really betrayed me.
  3. Supposedly YouTube is down but its working for me.
  4. For those on the edge (not the ledge) the only hope now is the coastal low makes the eastward turn a little sooner(further south). That would cool the lower levels quicker and allow for a longer duration of accumulating snow on the backside.
  5. The flaws were there, but they were managing to win ugly. Barely beating a depleted Ravens team was a clear sign of things to come though.
  6. The way things are looking I may have to take a drive to Chestertown and hangout.
  7. #13 was a great storm here. Underrated when compared to the usual KUs.
  8. So whats the 2-6"? All 3 shades of lighter blue? LOL Tony Pann.
  9. Its where the elevation changes from nominally 100 feet, to 400+ in a relatively short distance. It runs just west of I-95 from DC to Baltimore to NE MD, so easy to identify. It is marked by rapids and waterfalls, so Great Falls may be along the Fall line or just west.
  10. It works well for inland areas, and even here with a true Arctic air mass and a good storm track. Pretty ordinary cold and tucked in low is a problem here in mid Dec. Still hoping for the best, but not expecting much of anything at this point lol. See what the models have 24 hours from now.
  11. I would feel alot better than where I am at now. With no alcohol!
  12. I would feel pretty good if i was 20 miles west of the fall line. Pretty much a can't miss right? #faithinthegefs
  13. Yeah that's the general idea lol. At this range we can still see some differences, but going forward the op runs are where it's at. Probably around this time tomorrow.
  14. The 18z GEFS snowfall mean looks almost exactly like the op. A bit better actually. I would post it but I hate snow maps.
  15. It is basically a measure of instability. In the context of this storm, think mesoscale banding.
  16. The hot pink is right on the Caroline-Queen Annes county line. Take a Jeb walk through the gradient to 10".
  17. Maybe after this event, people will understand what is, and what isn't a legit NAO blocking pattern. I doubt it though. Those in the elevated areas of the interior won't care, because it didn't matter anyway, and those in the lowlands who got slop/rain will bitch and moan about how we failed in spite of blocking.
  18. Miami is hanging in there. It's a game. Tua is impressive.
  19. I am guessing he won't, unfortunately. I can totally understand placing priorities above posting on a weather board. I just hope he is well.
  20. Agree. And not only that, but throw out the geography. Best records get in, like the NBA. Sorry fans of teams in the NFC east, but none of them should make the playoffs.
  21. Cardinals are a better team, and on a 3 game skid. I dont bet, but if I did, I would be all over that one.
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