CAPE

These storms will likely fall apart as they move eastward towards the bay this evening. Models have clearly depicted that.There is a bit of ridging(subsidence) behind the departing upper low in eastern areas, plus the energy with the shortwave is moving more north than east. Eastern/NE MD may not see much of anything. I will be cranking up the sprinkler again by tomorrow lol.

Ha we will see how it works out. We almost always go into torch mode for much of July and August.

Looking at the ensemble guidance, it appears a strong upper ridge with an axis to our west builds at the end of the month into the first few days of July. That would keep us in more of a NW flow, but with the ridge so close, it would likely be at least a bit above normal, but nothing out of the ordinary. Beyond that, the GEFS retros the ridge and we end up with this. Looks kinda familiar. Its pretty far out, but not seeing any strong indications of a prolonged period of excessive heat for our area, and I will gladly take it.

DFH American Beauty Hazy Ripple IPA Perfect IPA for a summer day. Unfiltered and very aromatic, with hints of peach and a bit of orange. I really like this one.

About 25 bucks and 33%.

3.86" for the month after 0.80" today. Was pretty dry the past 10 days though, so much needed.

You made up some ground today.

It's all downhill beginning tomorrow. Days get shorter as we head towards another forgettable winter.

Sure has. 69 here. Clouds are breaking and very comfortable.

Looks to be pretty active over the next several days with a warm to hot and humid air-mass, and some small scale disturbances moving through. Later in the week it appears there will be a cold frontal passage with maybe a marginal severe threat? Anyway, not a boring stretch of weather, and at least some decent rain chances continuing. Might not need the sprinkler this week at all.

Locally, just about every place around here has probably had more rain, but I am quite content with the 0.80" in my bucket. Does not appear at this point I will see anymore. Should be winding down over the next couple hours in most areas with the loss of daytime heating.

I will take it if it produces rain without long dry stretches, and keeps prolonged bouts of extreme heat away. Looks like we will see that continue through the end of the month. Remains to be seen how things play out beyond that. We pretty much know the deal in the MA though.

0.76" so far. This round is winding down. Looks like another batch developing to the SE and moving NW. It has been thundering for more than 4 hours here lol. Not often that happens, especially when for nearly 3 of those hours not a drop of rain fell.

Low rolling thunder. Heavy rain. Very dark out. Anyone up for a Dark and Stormy?

If only. I had an Imperial coffee stout tho. Now drinking my cardio medicine- red wine.

Nah just a law of averages thing. I did very well here last month and early this month. It does seem to always dry out here often when the sun is the strongest though. I am used to my grass going to thatch just about every summer. Raining hard here now, so maybe delayed but not denied

Definitely losing some intensity as it moves NW. Just get me a half inch lol.

Finally started raining here, after perpetual thunder for hours. Glad you finally got some decent rain there.

Crappy quality but I was at 99% on my attachments and wasn't in the mood to delete shiit lol.

Crazy thunder. Booming and rumbling and propagating from multiple directions. Still in the hole! I think I saw a few drops though.

Took these less than a half mile from my driveway. Talk about storms all around. Hopefully something will hit here lol. to the NE- To the NW- To the SE-

Time for a mini chase. Stuff is really popping to my NE, E. and SE. If it manages to miss here, at least I can get some nice cloud shots. Cant see a damn thing here in the woods. Living in the "mini great plains", its very conducive to getting some impressive storm photos.

Maybe the sun combined with either the outflow boundary from the stuff to the north, or the one moving NW from the coast will pop something here. Grasping at straws, lol. Been awhile since I have heard so much rumbling thunder for so long with no rain. Time to crank up some Blind Melon. I have my Terrapin Imperial coffee stout though as I "track", so I'm good.

I think some stuff is forming along the bay/sea breeze moving inland across Delaware. Sun is back out here. Lol if I don't see any rain from this, I will have to call it a major bust, given the 80% pops and heavy rain wording. I was skeptical given the tendency for limited/ hit and miss coverage with slow moving pulse type convection. 50% would have been good enough.

Despite not a drop of rain falling, the temp is 73 with a nice breeze. Feels completely different from this morning. Outflow from the booming storms just to my NW FTW. Rather have some damn rain though.