CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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It won't make any meaningful difference at the surface or 850 mb. It's still there and without any phasing, there is really no way for the coastal low to gain latitude with that compressed flow out in front. The only way this was going to work imo was if that NS vort ended up far enough west to at least partially phase in time.
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Yay another fukkin snow map!
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This has always been the most realistic time for the beginning of our best window of opportunity.
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Do you by any chance hunt animals for the kill but don't eat the meat?
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I think my brother, who oddly enough lives NW of Greensboro NC, has had more snow than me the last couple years lol.
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Baby steps!
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@losetoa6
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Ok you got the deck, or the covered front porch even.
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A veritable disaster.
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Wait- this isn't a great look?
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If it somehow ends up snowing here, I will throw a party around the firepit with weenies and unlimited 120s for all. Y'all will have to sleep in the woods tho.
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He is wise and really knows the local climo, and seems immune to hype. I don't think that is being negative.
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Maybe. But if you ignore the dumbass snow maps and silly surface p-type maps, that run verbatim was a wound up coastal hugger with very marginal temps. You of all people should be able to tell us the actual outcome. That said, its an op run 7 days out with a favorable pattern as advertised on the means. Next run!
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Verbatim? Me neither. Its (not) happening! tho.
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Yes I was in Carroll county then. Instant whiteout when that hit, with rapid temp drop and flash freeze. Only event that was close to that, although not as dramatic, was the mid Feb convective snow in 2015. That was over 3" in about the same amount of time.
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I see coastal storms.
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Y'all know I hate snow maps but this captures that window pretty well. There is a signal there.
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Yeah that's the rare one that would make pretty much everyone happy. Has snow for the whole state of MD and almost all of VA. Lets do it.
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I counted 6 that look acceptable. Not as good as the 6z run.
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It will be close enough to give us another cloudy day or 2 at least. Need more of those.
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Yeah we aren't getting vodka cold, and we don't want/need it. We just want moderate cold, and that's exactly what the models are advertising mid to late month.
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Looks like a wave along a front, with cold coming in on the backside. Some Barney cold at that.
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The 6z GFS delivered ample digital snow, and Ji is asleep. I am sure the later runs will retract it so he can melt.
