CAPE
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Also a marginal risk for excessive rain for day 3 across our region. Stalled front, high PWATs. and flow aloft parallel to the front. Could be some training storms. This could all very well fall apart, and there is still disagreement among guidance as to where exactly the front ends up stalling, but there is the potential for 1-3 inches of rain "some place" within our region. My confidence level? Sprinkler is currently on.
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^It's on the schedule for this evening.
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Maybe the general h5 look we have seen with the mean ridge to our west can hold into summer. Would definitely reduce the episodes of prolonged extreme heat if nothing else.
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48 here this morning. Another near perfect weather day coming up, before a quick transition to a very warm and humid air mass for the mid to late week period. Looks like the front will stall rather than clear the area, so there should also be some chances for showers and storms.
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Going on 1 pm and the temp is 69 with a nice breeze, under full sun. Glorious.
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Next couple days look like perfection for early summer. Decent chance of the first 90 degree day on Wed for many as the trough departs and the upper ridge briefly shifts east. Luckily it looks to be very short lived. Maybe it will help fuel some decent storms when the cold front moves through later in the day.
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New Honda mower is smooth and tight.The smart drive variable speed self-propelled system works really well. Impressed so far.
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I cover the rain gauge when I water, so no idea lol.
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Raining in my yard now. #sprinkler
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Good thing my yard got drenched a week ago. Just a few hundredths since. Assuming nothing falls tonight(good bet) will finish with 3.25" for the month.
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Meanwhile the Tidewater is getting clocked pretty good with heavy rain. Looks like a nice dead zone setting up between the line passing well to the NW, and the stuff to the SE. Not interested in the least in severe, just some heavy downpours.
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12z 3km NAM and the latest HRRR runs concur. Best dynamics lift well NE it seems.
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Friday Happy Hour. Drinking a Double Digit.
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Yeah most of the Meso/CAMs look pretty interesting.
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I think I have had .02" here lol. mostly drizzle. Still ok for how after the 1.8" a week ago. No rain today though and I will be watering the grass in the next couple days.
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Well since I pushed for that thread to be started to begin with, I cant completely disagree. Ofc I don't have any say in which threads stay active and which ones are locked. I suggested a separate thread mostly to keep the COVID talk from dominating banter, as it was at the time. Activity is definitely much lighter here now in general though, but that is typical for this time of year. At least there is an easily accessible option for those who want to engage in that discussion on this forum.
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The action here always dies off this time of year. Most of the regulars gradually disappear. This is a winter weather 'centric' forum, despite the fact we don't see much actual winter weather anymore in these parts.
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Yes its a 206. Fat fingers me lol. Fixed
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So I bought a Honda mower today- the same one @George BM has and recommended. My dad has basically the same thing, but his has an electric start. I am good with pull start. I'll get it put together on Saturday. Enjoying an Oliver 206 IPA right now.
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Was super foggy here too, but has mixed out already. Sun is out for now,
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The 12z Euro yesterday did have an axis of heavier rain for eastern areas again, like last week lol. It may have backed off on that. I haven't looked at the latest run.
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The small tropical disturbance looks like it will track well west now, as the Atlantic ridge is stronger/further west. The area of lift with that feature is compact, and looks to be focused over the mountains. Rain chances for most of the region look pretty low until Friday as the front approaches, and even that is looking less impressive for significant rain on the latest guidance.
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Continues to look like an interesting period upcoming. Mount Holly's thoughts-
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Dense fog here this morning. Hopefully the sun makes an appearance before dinner time today lol.
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Still cloudy here! Temp is up to 68 though. Enjoyable day despite the lack of sun. Plenty of days of 80s and humidity in the very hear future.
