CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Have the last several pages been negative? Hadn't noticed that. And that looks pretty shit for here.
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Don't panic Ji!!
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This is really nothing new going with the trends on the means.
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This is an h5 look that will get it done for a moderate snowstorm.
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@Ji Not a cutter.
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HH trying to do something with a southern wave and cold pressing.
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The Steelers getting their derailed train quickly back on track can help the Ravens cause immensely. I might throw up in my mouth a little, but I will be rooting for them hard the last 2 weeks. A win against the Colts or Browns, assuming the Ravens take care of their business, would put them in the playoffs. Alternatively, the Raiders beat Miami this week, or Buffalo doesn't rest all their key players the final week against the Dolphins and they win, would get them in.
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Transient.
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He would be praying for the GFS to show the mother of all cutters by early Feb.
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Da fucck is going on here. A few miles to my south gets a flizzard and still not a flake imy!
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Must be the solar min.
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Look where the NA ridge is located. Cant have a high and a low in the same place. Ideally we want the +heights focused further NW. There are hints of that towards the end of the ens runs.
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Troughs dumping too far west and shortwaves amplifying too soon/west is a tendency during Ninas correct? I think this is what we are going to be battling as we try to time up a storm with a favorable NA. Hopefully we can get a bit of a PNA ridge at just the right time.
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No, its workable on the means. But we know it will be uncooperative at times. And again, my posts were wrt this particular op run.
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Oh I am sure I will get better rain events than that.
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It could be meteorologically impossible. Toss!
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Its one op run. I am just looking at it at face value. Not making any broader conclusions. I evaluate at h5, not the surface, and I can tell ya I saw where this run was heading pretty quickly.
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Exactly. Ji zooms in on one feature and thinks just because it exists, there can only be one possible result. It cuts because the PAC is crap and an eastern ridge pops.
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Possible scattered flurries/ isolated flizzard.
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The trailing energy after the main precip(rain) moves out is the thing to watch. Wont be anything widespread but possibly some hefty snow showers/squalls in places. GFS hinting at it, and the 12z 12Km NAM a bit. Have to watch the Mesos as we get closer.
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I concur.
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The window for something looks to begin after the late month warm Miller B garbage event. The GFS will do what the GFS does with shortwaves coming east under a block at range.
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I changed mine a couple months ago. No one even noticed.
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NAM lookin good.
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Wow a slush slinging twister.
