CAPE
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EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society 8 October 2020
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A legit wintertime -AO/NAO would help our cause immensely. It has been awhile.
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Yeah I had to buy a six pack of this. I took a chance. Its decent. It may last a while in my fridge lol, unlike most stuff i buy.
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Not a flake within 200 miles of the far western highlands for that period on the 12z GFS. Shocked?
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Latest trends are for a a wet period from late Sunday through mid week. Just how wet remains to be seen. At his point it doesn't look like anything excessive.
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Drinking a Reeser's Peanut Butter Chocolate Milk Stout from Eastern Shore Brewing. It's interesting.
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The Jets are atrocious. Flacco is risking his health, and for what? Its actually sad. He had a nice career, and he will go down as a decent NFL QB who got hot and played like Joe Montana at the exact right time- and earned him the massive contract. He should retire now.
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What great leader said that?
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Flacco had a decent run. His career is over. Lamar is 23, and was MVP in his first full season. Yeah he needs be able to carry his team when it counts, but remember a guy named Payton Manning? How did he do in his first few shots at getting it done for his team with it all on the line? I wonder why it is that you doubt Lamar.
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None of these seasonal/climate models are very good more than a month out. Even the Euro is pretty bad. That said, as a group they are worth monitoring to get some idea of the big picture pattern. Nice thing about the CFS is it constantly updates, and it has weeklies out to 6 weeks. Makes it more entertaining. It has been on one of its "good look" runs the past few days. What it is currently advertising for winter would be completely acceptable for this area.
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True, but it does happen. Remember the NC snowstorm a few years ago while we were smokin' cirrus?
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They both "mean something". You have to keep in mind it is a super LR mean- a monthly mean at that. I pay more attention to the height anomalies on these panels, as it is indicative of where the features of interest may set up in general. Outside of a super blocked up pattern though, clearly there will be some shifts in the location and intensity of the + and -height anomalies.
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Sadly he smoked too much, but still..
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RIP Eddie Van Halen. **** cancer.
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This is probably the sort of look we have to "hope" for. Latest CFS h5 mean for December. Maybe if the PDO goes positive it can aid in sustaining an early winter PNA-ish ridge for a while before the pattern retros and turns to complete suckage. Just a bit of help up top here too. Fwiw, CFS looks decent for Jan as well. All the usual disclaimers apply.
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I took a peek at the monthly h5 means posted in the NE thread. December isn't that bad, with a west based -NAO, and the Pac ridge s/w of the Aleutians' has not yet become an absolute monster. Most likely the NAO would just keep us from torching, but if that PAC ridge is not yet a fixture and/or is positioned a bit further NE, ya never know. Verbatim that would probably produce for central and northern NE.
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Not likely. If that were to happen it would probably be in January. Those seeking snow this winter may have to settle for chasing upslope snow showers out in Canaan with transient cold on the backside of a warm, wet cutter.
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The CFS yo-yo is back to advertising a general h5 pattern for winter that could certainly tease, and likely never deliver.
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I am down for this. Need to get acclimated to the new normal. Resistance is futile.
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Drinking a FD Kujo Cold Brew Coffee Porter for HH.
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One.
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There would probably be some snow showers for the western highlands with this look.
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Cowboys are terrible. All they needed was a coach!
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Wonder what Phin thinks about Cam.
