CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Maybe some drier air has advected in over there already. It is hideous here.
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Late afternoon/ evening. One inhibiting factor for storm development is the flow ahead of the main front is likely to bring some drier air into the area this afternoon. I will be keeping an eye on the dew point here. Its sultry as hell out there now. Just do anything for a few minutes and you are soaked. Already took a shower.
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Steam bath out there. 78/74 Might be interesting when the front comes through later. Looking forward to the next few days. Should feel awesome after our first bout of heat and humidity.
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The localized nature of rainfall in the summer can be painful. My run of frustration lies ahead I'm sure. Always seems to happen at the worst time here.
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Picked up 0.20" overnight from the decaying storms. Freshened up my rainpack. 2.55" two day total.
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This is the one.
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Told ya you were gonna be in the jack zone. Pummeled!
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I ran that sucker for about 2 hours yesterday in the late afternoon on the area out back where I try to keep the grass nice. So that area had like an extra half inch of rain lol.
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I like using the HREF as it is an ensemble of pretty much all of the relevant meso models. It didn't quite work out yesterday for here as most of the members were not impressive at all for my yard, and I ended up getting PUMMELED. I find it to be a pretty useful tool overall though.
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lol that is usually what happens here. Been jack-potting a lot so far, but it will surely change in a few weeks at peak sun angle and when the legit heat is on, like clockwork. There will be storms within a few miles in every direction, but bupkis in my yard.
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It's just getting started. HREF looks pretty decent for N central/ NE MD into SE PA for a bit later.
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Your yard is in the slight risk area for excessive rain. Good luck!
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Taken literally, the only model run I saw of any meso yesterday that brought the heavier rain over here(rather than tracking it more to the NW) was the 18z 3k NAM. Just goes to show how difficult it is to pinpoint the forcing in an environment like this, with stalled boundary, and rather localized impulses moving through. Finally looks like a cold front plows through tomorrow, and we get into a drier air mass for the weekend and early next week. Temps in the upper 70s with dew points in the 40s/50s ftw.
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Yeah quite a difference driving south this morning. Lets see what the next round does. Hopefully it misses my yard and gives yours a deluge.
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Looking at the Hi Res rainfall map on weathernet, it appears there was an area of 3-4" amounts just north of Annapolis right along the bay.
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Total of 2.35". I'm good for another week. Have not seen a mosquito yet this Spring/summer, but that might change with another round or 2 of heavy rain.
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Bad call. Despite the hi res models (and the forecast for a tenth of an inch or less), the showers were a major hit here. 2.2" I hope that next line misses.
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Pouring again- this literally blossomed overhead.
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Impressive looking on radar. Really has blown up heading into Baltimore.
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1.5" with that first line, including some back-building when it appeared to be ending. Looks like that next batch to the west might add a little more.
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Of all the CAMs/Mesos, only the 3k NAM had anything close to this for my yard. Most had the convection moving to the NW, leaving it pretty much dry here.
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@losetoa6 I did get to try out the new sprinkler. Might not need it for a few days now.
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Well that was impressive. 1.4" in about 30 mins.
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That next batch building to the west over S MD should clip your area.
