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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. @JakkelWx Incoming(if it doesn't die again)
  2. It crapped on Wed the 10th too. That is outside the scope of this thread though.
  3. Where is Ji to tell us how HH GFS shit the bed for SB Sunday?
  4. Lets see if this next blob forming to my NE can do anything.
  5. The band that collapsed on my doorstep reformed to the south. You stole my snow!
  6. Banding is usually always cruel. Anywhere there is localized intense lift, there is adjacent sink. One of the many reasons I loved the late Jan 2010 event. It was super cold, and the snow literally just turned on and stayed moderate everywhere pretty much until the end. No jip zones.
  7. We do backloaded way better almost always anyway. That's just climo, esp for the coastal plain. A -AO/NAO in Dec may produce, but if it persists, by late Jan into early March it is often money. I can be impatient, but realistic, and I know a pattern like this will usually pay off here.
  8. I was not expecting anything from part 2, so if I get anything it is a bonus. I got 3 yesterday, but was hoping for 4-5. You were kind of in between- the best waa precip was going south, but you had potential to get in on the coastal fgen bands. Maybe you still will. As the 850 low shifts a bit further east, the eastern areas may get in on some better lift. Right now it's focused further west in our region.
  9. I got this. Don't need no stinking snow.
  10. What did you end up with for the WAA part yesterday?
  11. LOL. I had like 25 legit flakes. At least I know the column is right now. Time to track the next semi-fail event. This is too low probability to bother with. Maybe I wake up in the morning to a fresh coating. Maybe not. Not worth investing anymore time looking at models that show 2,3,4...6 inches. Maybe we see an inch between tonight and later tomorrow. 'That has been my call. I will stick with it.
  12. You didn't see that awesome band just drop dead as it approached our yards? I had like 25 flakes. This is why I am not optimistic about seeing anything significant.
  13. LOL well that disintegrated quick. Produced a heck of a subsidence area in its wake though. Kinda reminds me of summer.
  14. I haven't seen anything but light rain/drizzle- and mostly a lot of nothing- for the last 12 hours or so. Lets see what this does.
  15. Nice band on the doorstep here. Just as I type this I see a few flakes starting to come down.
  16. A couple hours. I don't think we are going to see widespread snow here. Probably a few periods of snow showers, and hopefully we get lucky and get a heavier burst. Sticking with what I said this morning. Maybe an inch or so.
  17. I think he is looking for sleet instead of rain. The column wont be cold enough for snow over here until this evening most likely.
  18. Its right on the doorstep according to the latest meso. There is a batch of something on radar pivoting your way too. Stare until you see a pinger.
  19. We might see some snow, but today was always going to be mild and damp and drizzly with so significant lift. We have the classic ENE flow off the torching Atlantic waters courtesy of the transfer process.
  20. Might as well build a dense base, since this storm is kind of a bust by your standards for snow events lol.
  21. I don't think eastern areas see any snow until this evening, if there is anything actually falling at that time.
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