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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Maybe briefly, but more likely mixed with sleet. Possibly an hour or 2 of snow near the PA line.
  2. CAPE
    Oddly I am kind of looking forward to the ice event, which I normally dread given all the trees surrounding my house.. Probably because it doesn't appear to be even close to anything devastating, and more likely to be harmless and maybe add to the winter scene.
  3. CAPE
    Here is the "pretty" 18z Euro clown map.
  4. CAPE
    34 with some flakes starting to fly here.
  5. CAPE
    Better off looking out the window.
  6. CAPE
    I rarely if ever look at it. It is an exercise in futility 90% of the time.
  7. CAPE
    And this isn't always the case?
  8. CAPE
    36 and cloudy
  9. CAPE
    Too bad the RGEM is garbage.
  10. CAPE
    38 and cloudy here.
  11. CAPE
    HL blocking defo makes it more interesting.
  12. CAPE
    Leaves and sticks. Damn wind. Can never keep the leaves where I want them.
  13. CAPE
    Time to let the chips fall. My forecast is for 2-4" with some sleet, and there is also a "concern" for several hundredths of an inch ice accretion at some point tomorrow, before changing back to snow tomorrow evening. Time to focus on the next one, and the one after that. It ain't boring, folks.
  14. CAPE
    My deck is elevated and screwed.
  15. CAPE
    Some improvement on the 12z EPS. Stronger/souther NA vortex...better confluence...stronger surface high pressure compared to 0z. Still work to do.
  16. CAPE
    Need to park a barge out there. Sure see a lot of digital snow on the models after a cold front blasts off the coast following our big rainstorms lol.
  17. CAPE
    I don't think it has finished yet lol.
  18. CAPE
    I am going with the Euro/3km NAM/Para/WRF blend with this one, assuming they don't take a single tick north from this point on- which is unlikely lol.
  19. CAPE
    Happy to see there is such a large area offshore that will receive up to 3" of snow.
  20. CAPE
    If the effing north trend would stop, some of us outside of the northern tier would do ok. But I mean, what are these runs going to look like at 18z? My yard is tickled by the 850 0c line for a panel on most guidance now, which probably isn't a disaster- yet- but the indications are strong.
  21. CAPE
    Imo there was no way both waves were going to be legit and hit the same area. With the first wave stronger, (and confluence to our NE not as strong as advertised, esp on the Euro) it goes norther, and in its wake it pulls the boundary further south. Had the lead wave been a weak pos, I think the second one would have probably been good for N and C VA and much of MD, DE.
  22. CAPE
    It's late to that game.
  23. CAPE
    As of this moment it still shows 6" of digital snow(3 in the real world) but that is likely going to change in about 30 mins.
  24. CAPE
    lol It will probably eff me on temps more than precip when it makes the expected jump north, but might be both!
  25. CAPE
    I never look past the one right in front of me when it gives me snow. if the trend stopped right now it would still be decent here,. One more tick and its mostly sleet. Ofc the GFS also wants to eff me on precip, but it is the only model really doing that.
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