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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Yes.
  2. CAPE
    The pattern looks ok to me going forward, as long as the positive spike in the AO and NAO is temporary. Both the GEFS and EPS have the AO/NAO going negative the last few days of the month and into March. With a significantly -PNA being forecast, we need the blocking.
  3. CAPE
    An evolution like the Euro will still rain on the coastal plain given where the coastal low would develop, but the lowlands probably wont avoid that in this set up. Just give me some snow/sleet on the front end and I am good.
  4. CAPE
    It seems to be moving towards that camp. This is one thing I have noticed on the Euro and Para- more of a focus on that vorticity max out ahead.
  5. CAPE
    Looking upstairs is much more informative than trying to glean the specifics for trends from surface maps.
  6. CAPE
  7. CAPE
    There has been more of an emphasis on the lead energy out in front of the main trough on the Euro and Para, which gets the coastal going sooner and further south. The last couple runs of the GFS/GEFS took a pretty big step towards that idea.
  8. CAPE
    their x 2
  9. CAPE
    yo Para
  10. CAPE
    Verbatim its pure rain pretty much everywhere east of the mountains by hour 100.
  11. CAPE
    Yeah pretty much identical so far.
  12. CAPE
    LOL Mount Holly talkin' lots of rain and possible flooding with melting snowpack for the late week deal in their latest AFD. They ain't buying these somewhat colder solutions, at least not yet.
  13. CAPE
    Para is now available on WB. About time!
  14. CAPE
    ^Nice while it lasted.. about 20 mins lol.
  15. CAPE
    I was legit thinking of posting something just like this. Nice.
  16. CAPE
    LOL. Yeah those poor bastards. I would be fine with a padder inch or so before a flip to rain. Not picky. This is a pretty unfavorable setup for the coastal plain.
  17. CAPE
    NW folks look to be in pretty decent shape for significant frozen. Not sure how acceptable an outcome is in the cards for I-95 and esp east. Probably about as good as it gets right now given the synoptics and the time frame.
  18. CAPE
    I can assure you no one likes it.
  19. CAPE
    Maybe try explaining exactly what you are trying to illustrate when you post these panels. They seem totally random and are useless without any context. I mean, most of what you are posting seems pretty useless regardless. Its like.. yaaaay look I got Pivotal weather!
  20. CAPE
    Looks like a weak NS wave on the means. Maybe a couple inches for NE? I suppose it could trend better.
  21. CAPE
    Sun just broke through here a bit. Damn its been like 4-5 days. Kinda nice. Temp up to 33.
  22. CAPE
    31 here, but decent melting with the energy from the mid Feb sun doing its thing through the fog and clouds. No effort required on the deck, steps and car. Trees still look pretty with the ice.
  23. CAPE
    GEFS weaker and easter with LP in the Ohio Valley.
  24. CAPE
    Projecting? Protruding? Never mind, they wouldn't have worked either.
  25. CAPE
    In order to get into the proper weenie mindset and overwhelm the cold hard facts, I would need to see some hope for my yard. There isn't any lol.
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