CAPE

I get fringed.

Can definitely see the projected locations of the banding on the 3km NAM

You decide lol. The answer is maybe..

I think there will be banding on the NW edge of the good precip shield- pretty typical. Euro might be hinting at that. Ofc banding in this set up may make for some happy campers, and very close by- unhappy ones. Getting stuck in an area of subsidence with prolonged light to moderate precip wont get it done with the lack of cold at the surface.

The track isn't any different- probs a tick SE- but the precip distribution is, a slight expansion westward of the heavy qpf. Robs my yard of a bit and gives more to places just SE. Overall not much difference from 0z. 4-6" verbatim.

Well, my gut call is based mostly on the idea that my yard is probably not going to be the jack zone lol. It could always be further SE though.

We are solidly in the CAM wheelhouse today. My gut says there will be some NW movement or at least an expansion of the heavy precip/banding even if the track doesn't shift.

Not nuts about ice but I would take it if it ends up snow then deep freeze.

Speaking of which...perfect

With marginal temps and the speed of this system, it really comes down to banding. Those areas that get under it probably see 4"+.

6z GFS has best precip further SE. A bit weaker/drier overall.

We have had plenty of that action the last 2 years. Not so much on the cold.

Cambridge has come a long way in the past decade. Defo has a sweet spot now.

^Yeah like that up there lol.

18z Euro looks solid.

Out of the Fire is outstanding. I don't do pizza often, but one of the best ever is their gorgonzola and caramelized onion. Holy shit is that perfect. Do they still have that one on the menu? eta- and the PEI mussels are incredible

So many good restaurants in Easton. Overall better than St Michaels imo.

That is indeed the place.

Yes! Very nice. Spicy but not overwhelming.

One of my fave dishes I order from a local Asian place is Malaysian red curry chicken, with big chunks of onions, green beans, egg plant, and red and green peppers, cooked to perfection and with fried rice. It is outstanding.

I just ate, and I am now hungry.

Nice discussion by Mount Holly, with sufficient dirty talk included. In terms of sensible weather with the storm, expect snow to develop SW to NE near or shortly after midnight Saturday night. The precip could start as rain over southern Delmarva and parts of southern NJ but as cooling effects take hold it will change to all snow. The brunt of the storm looks to hit into Sunday morning as deepening low pressure tracks northeast off the coast. There should be strong forcing for ascent over the area due to right jet entrance dynamics and also the mid level low looks to track right near the area as it start to close off. The upshot is we expect snow, heavy at times, through the morning with still some question on exactly where the heaviest bands set up. Heaviest bands of snow will likely be near or just north of the mid level low in the strongest F-Gen forcing. Rates in the heaviest bands are likely to be 1-2 inches per hour creating significantly reduced visibility. Most of the forecast area should be all snow Sunday with the exception being southern Delmarva and parts of coastal NJ where a mix with or change to rain and sleet will be possible. But this will depend on the exact track of the storm. A track closer to the coast will result in more mixing near the coast with the heaviest snow near or even north of I-95 while a track farther east will result in mostly all snow even at the coast potentially bringing the highest snow amounts here. Generally favoring a track close enough to the coast to bring at least some mixing here with our highest snow amounts of 6+ inches currently forecast in a swath near the I-95 corridor. But again, confidence still fairly low on these exact details despite growing confidence of the storm impacting the region. Also, within the area we are currently forecasting 6-8 inches there will likely be an area that gets 8-12+ inches in the heaviest bands.

Anyone post the RGEM? I would tap it.