CAPE
-
Posts
34,891 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CAPE
-
Expansion of precip shield NW; snow bullseye the same.
-
Damn this thread is hopping. Ask and you receive multiple times. Snow starved weenies.
-
-
Looks like it might be a fun time in Rehoboth. DFH and snow.
-
This is the GFS we had known and loved and missed. Welcome back. -Ji
-
GFS and CMC. Canadians have 3-6" for the area just south and east of DC. The rest of those models are trash.
-
The 18z Euro will shift the precip a bit further SE, with snow tv for my yard and an inch or 2 for the DE/MD beaches. Just a guess, or call it intuition.
-
The GFS is either gonna score big, or go down in flames when the other guidance trends towards the NAM at 0z lol. It would get all the shit because it has been steadfast and has now upped the ante with a major snowstorm for a significant part of the region.
-
Pretty odd to see such disparity like this given the start of the 'event' is inside of 40 hours. Easy to say its the goddamn NAM though so who cares lol.
-
12z EPS looks good. After the 12z suite, one would have to think confidence is growing for a low end moderate event for southeastern portions of the region, assuming low level temps cooperate. Still some room for adjustment NW of the significant precip but probably limited at this juncture.
-
Go ahead. I suck at starting threads lol.
-
lol we know that's not happening in the current regime.
-
psu wouldn't like this much.
-
I will be in Rehoboth tomorrow into Monday so might be in a decent place to see a little snow. Heading west into the mountains mid to late week so should be in a good spot there for the next potential event. My yard might very well get skunked and I won't care in the least.
-
GFS is hell bent on getting some decent snow in the area. Would be nice if it had support from like any other model though. 12z Euro run will be yuge.
-
Hopefully we don't go 0 for 2 this week.
-
Late week potential on the EPS-
-
An undeniably more wintry look to the advertised longwave pattern for the eastern US going forward, and timed with a climatologically favored period for frozen in the MA. There should be chances, and hopefully a little luck.
-
At least it looks wet to go along with the warm. Then cold and dry. Hopefully we can throw some big wind in there too.
-
-
He only cares about hunting for the big dogs. He gets so many 1-3" events it's like a passing flurry to him.
-
Like I said, getting 'some' snow from this (in our region in general) is a function of timing and sharpness of the wave, not the track shifting. My guess is the moisture will have mostly exited SE and I might see some flakes flying in the NW winds. A coating would be cool.
-
Depends how many runs you want to go back and evaluate. 20? 10? Look at the last 4-5 GFS runs. The surface low track is the same- east and off the NC coast. How far north can the precip shield realistically get with a track straight off the coast at that latitude, and a strong cold front pressing southeastward?
