CAPE
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Here are a couple shots of the seasonal woodland wetland on the back of my property. This whole area is normally under a foot or so of water by mid February, as the water table breaks the surface. As of now just one small puddle, and most of the area isn't even muddy. I ordered 100 bucks of larvicide as usual, as one or 2 soaking rains over the next couple weeks will get it going. It normally dries up by late Spring with warmer/longer days and increase in evapotranspiration.
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Is anyone actually still tracking snow? We can't even get a rain storm lately. My seasonal wetland/mosquito breeding ground is barely damp, so I am ok with dry this time of year. I was just outside watering some of the newer trees/plants I put in during early Fall though. That 0.01" of rain last night didn't do much.
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Exactly. Emotional expectations based on a specific desired outcome by a weenie attempting to interpret a D10 mean aren't really relevant.
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Was there really a consensus for the ice age idea among the scientific community back then? Or was it mostly speculative? That's a good exercise right there.
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Friday HH on St Patty's day. I'm more green than usual. And no, fuck green beer. That's not the green I mean. Be careful out there.
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Yeah it's kind of a waste of time to draw conclusions from scientific data. Truthiness is always better.
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I love this place. Even more when it never snows.
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The snowy periods are less snowy, and the non-snowy periods are more snowy. Not sure how we can move on from this one.
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A bit more variable here. Last year was incredible compared to this lol. Jan 17 and 18 were also pretty darn good- more so to my east. Beginning to think I need to root for cross polar flow/Arctic cold w/progressive pattern, as long as the western Atlantic is on fire at least. Seems to produce the most snow here in recent winters, but sucks pretty bad for inland areas.
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We need our very own ENSO thread to track all that truly matters, until ultimate failure this time next year(following a long period of high expectations). A subtitle something like 'the new hope', or 'we are still so royally fucked' would be cool.
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@vastateofmind Drinking one of these from RAR. Pretty darn good!
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I think I had 12" here for 2020-21. Not too far from median. Some of it was sleet during the Feb period. Had some ice too. The winter before was a disaster. An inch or so total.
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Wave 8? Might be the one.
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Nah just applying weenies at this point. I assumed that 'privilege' had also been revoked, since he hasn't done it since.
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Outside of a strong low with an ideal track, there is no chance of accumulating snow for the lowlands.
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He was banned from this subforum. So nice to have him back though, contributing nothing useful. Weenies on every post!
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Legit dusting here this morning, but only ranks third behind the quarter inch event of a few weeks back and the Arctic flizzard around Xmas. What a winter.
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Complex evolution with a low developing over the Gulf stream then bombing as it interacts with the NS energy. Possibly some convective feedback issues in there.
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Stronger signal than 0z.
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Surface high is exiting stage right on the mean. If there is going to be a storm this period, the inland higher terrain would obviously be favored for frozen.
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6z GEFS. Not a bad look.
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What makes it work is constructive rather than destructive NS interaction. Good timing/location with the vorticity lobe sliding across southern Hudson Bay- creates some nice confluence and enhances surface HP in a favorable location.
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Not sure there is ever a case to pay much attention to the 12km NAM.
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I mean there is still a chance over the next 10 days or so. Like 5%. We have momentum for complete futility though. No reason to think fortunes will change heading towards April lol.
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Philly. It sucks ass there too. Either way, anyone posting in this sub gets lumped in with the rest of us snow losers.
