CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Needs a N to NNW trajectory.
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Still a mild 16 here
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@leesburg 04 maybe..
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lol. rubbed someone the wrong way..
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19 here. Still getting some legit wind gusts, but a bit less than a few hours ago. Got a fire going in the stove. Should be able to keep the heat pump from running for the weekend.
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Good thing the Bills are on the road tomorrow. Plenty cold, but not an all out historic blizzard. Zero chance they would have played a game at home.
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12/23: Arctic frontal flizzard with a solid coating. Didn't measure so I will go with 0.1". On the board!
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@WxUSAF
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It might be interesting/useful for you to create an h5 anomaly plot for each of those Decembers individually.
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It's definitely possible for a little something. I would think the further west the better, with it tending to dry up as it moves east.
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Still looks like a tough one with that ridge progressing east and that vort lobe tracking right overtop.
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That is a multiple year monthly composite mean at h5 for December. There would have to be some amount of ridging in the Western US (during Dec) for at least parts of some of those years. When presented as a multi-year composite, the height anomalies there are less prominent and get 'washed out'.
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So far only some small branches down here and there. No leaves on the trees helps significantly
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Yeah the wind is fierce here now. Helping to sublimate my little coating of snow.
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That is the typical -NAO dipole look. When there are anomalous +heights over the NA, the heights adjacent to it are anomalously low. The oddity is the ridging that has been occurring underneath lately despite that. It is what you would generally expect if the NAO were significantly positive(lower h5 heights over GL). eta: a super -PNA can certainly overwhelm a weaker/east based -NAO, but typically if the NAO is legit negative, SE ridge is suppressed.
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The low visibility for a time was pretty impressive. The pond is covered to keep it from filling with leaves lol.
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31 and still coming down but brightening up. First flakes, flizzard, and coating.
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Way more impressive than I thought it would be. Too bad the ground is sopping wet and the temps didn't crash quicker.
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Pretty legit flizzard here now. Sideways snow. Actually starting to stick a bit.
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Same here. Temp down to 36. Moderate now with pretty big flakes. Zero stickage ofc.
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Sudden burst of wind and all snow coming down now.
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It's heading in the same direction.
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Temp down to 40 with some wet flakes mixed in. Had one burst of wind but its backed off for now.
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GFS against the world failed again.
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46 and pouring here now. Not much wind yet.
