CAPE
-
Posts
36,289 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CAPE
-
Rain to snow for the 28th with a trailing piece of energy and cold HP pressing south, then with cold in place the next wave tracks underneath and snows on us. That idea has been showing up on the ens mean, and makes sense with the advertised pattern evolution.
-
2.35"
-
It is the Gus the Bus, Justice Hill show going forward. And ofc Jackson. Don't want to see him run as much as he has though.
-
If you haven't seen the replay of the Mitchell injury, don't. It is ugly.
-
Anyway, Ravens are in the playoffs. Now it's all about seeding.
-
I'm pretty old. They are a good team. But as a fan, I am going to be critical. Nature of the beast.
-
Nice win for the Ravens. Lamar's ability to escape the rush, extend the play, and make something happen downfield has become almost Elway-like. Just feel sick for Keaton Mitchell. Such a weapon in the absence of Dobbins, and probably done for the season. Sucks.
-
57 and 0.90" so far. Ready for the thunder/heavy rain/wind portion of the program now.
-
Ravens D has been a bit lucky. Could easily be 10-9 or worse. Seeing the same softness that's been there recently. Get your shit together. Offense needs to get the run game going a bit. Stanley. I know he isnt 100 % but maybe he is washed? Barely mediocre at this point.
-
I believe that was a Jebman classic.
-
Would like to see a better look in the NA though. Hopefully the EPS has the right idea for early Jan.
-
I like the h5 look at the end of the 18z GEFS run out west. Significant improvement. It has looked pretty meh compared to the EPS the last few runs, and the extended tool depicts how this will likely evolve a few days later.
-
My prediction is that you will probably want to be in Deep creek for this one.
-
Cowboys SUCK when they play a worthy opponent on the road. Not even close to SF. Eagles, Rams, and Lions are better.
-
A parade of lows across the southern US, exiting the SE/MA coast. Nino baby. There will be no lack of chances. Eventually some cold air will get involved.
-
-
The strength and position of the NPAC low can vary, but it won't likely 'disappear'. It is a semi-permanent feature in a Nino, just as the NPAC ridge is during a Nina. The NPAC Jet character (extended/retracted, shifted northward/southward) is a factor in determining the exact location and strength of that low in the mid levels.
-
I gotta admit, his post made me LOL. You do have a habit of swooping in here and dropping a deuce on a good vibe.
-
Not to be a Deb, but given the Raven's (tough) schedule, and the FLACCO! factor, I could see a scenario where the Ravens and Browns end up with the same record. They split head to head, so it would come down to other tiebreakers for the division.
-
The GEFS look is decent, but not drool worthy. It has backed off a bit over the last couple runs on the amped western ridge, with the most notable +heights over Hudson Bay and a slightly +NAO at the end of the run. My guess is it is probably a few days behind(or the EPS is a bit ahead) with the general progression of the pattern.
-
Many of our snowiest periods historically don't feature a ridge out west, in particular during a Nino. Good to see it show up on the means, especially in the absence of a -NAO. Ofc the last few runs of the EPS are suggesting a -NAO period may develop as well.
-
It hasn't been 'missing' that whole time. We have had timely periods of +PNA/-EPO that contributed to cold/snowy periods.
-
Given that the last several runs of GEFS have mildish temps for the east at day 15, no surprise the extended tool takes longer to cool things down. EPS and GEPS both have below avg temps by early Jan. The depicted h5 pattern in general is not as quite as good on the GEFS, and the other 2 models have the NAO trending negative heading into January. Regardless it isn't that important to see blues over us on a temp anomaly panel 15+ days out. The advertised h5 pattern progression is what we want to see.
-
You can feel the juice in this airmass. Ground, roads, cars all wet despite no precip falling. 50/48 currently.
-
Still a strong signal for a storm in this window. Still on the mild side but decent shot at some frozen inland with this one. The next one should have some colder air to work with. One can envision this tracking just underneath, with a bit more of a cold feed. EPS has a colder look for around new Years.
