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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. @Snowcrazed71I apologize for posting your PM, but in the future, please do not DM me a slew of insults. If you do not have the balls to call me names publicly, then don't do it period. You are taking this too personal, man. I have nothing against you...I was just trolling you because you were heated.
  2. The thing is....when you lose a significant portion of the early winter, and then end up near average, it implies a pretty damn good period or two.
  3. That is the essence of what I missed in December....the RNA was deeper and less variable. The lower heights also hung around AK a bit longer than I had thought early on in the month. Pretty small misses in the grand scheme of things have a very big sensible impact and can really flush a forecast.
  4. I think he over embellishes in an attempt to derive humor from a sea of weather shit.
  5. We really only had two stick-bomb winters when your kids were growing up....2006-2007, and 2011-2012.
  6. Take that, and stick in your deep, dark no-no place!
  7. Well, that is a subjective ratter.....I am speaking of a statistical ratter in terms of total seasonal snowfall.
  8. I disagree, but we'll see. Stratosphere dependent.
  9. Its been dry in large part because of that RNA....even when the NAO block developed, we had the compression between the NAO ridge to the north, and RNA ridge to the south. It would not have been dry if the RNA were just a little less prevalent.
  10. Yea, that is what killed us....even if it had reached between -1 and -2 nadir, we probably would have seen significant snow with that NAO block.
  11. That is why seasonal forecasting is sooooo difficult. 1970 was one of my December analogs, and its really didn't evolve too much differently, but the RNA and NAO being in perfect synch porked us out of the snow. Obviously it was warmer, too...that was over 50 years ago.
  12. Yes. Get it out of the way, sooner or later we won't have to hear you chirping us incessantly about regression.
  13. I think I need to see early Feb to go ratter territory just because I expect the stratosphere to get active around that time....if that isn't happening, and it looks bleak, then yes....rat it is.
  14. He isn't perfect, but one thing that I will say for DT is that he doesn't utilize forecasts as clickbait like so many other internet mets.
  15. This is the complete inverse pattern of 2014-2015.
  16. Yea, I am no where near that. However, if we somehow make it into the second week of January without anything significant on the imminent horizon, then I will be worried about some of my seasonal forecast ranges.
  17. I honestly don't care...in fact, whereas I work in the AM, CT can have the inch.
  18. The 18z has the right idea....pin the good snows in CT, and pork my area.
  19. The RNA is so prominent that the blocking is what makes it possible to even snow in NNE.
  20. Believe me, take a look at most of the NFL owners....just lucky sperm that are born, roll out of bed and collect billions.
  21. Wilmington and Tewksbury looked bare....maybe it was just by the highway.
  22. I am confident that the second half of January goes to crap again.
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