40/70 Benchmark

It bites all right.....

That chart doesn't tell the whole story, either....the structure is very important. I will take a modoki el nino regardless of strength over any la nina.

The most favorable ENSO state for snowfall is weak el nino. I don't care what data you find. I will grant you that a super el nino is probably worse than a super la nina....not merely strong, but very strong.

Big Ninas are generally hostile, anyway....that is an indisputable fact. Least favorable ENSO state.

Yea, the valleys maybe tough everywhere. Hopefully the low end of the 1-2" range covers it....otherwise, I'll live-

Few thoughts on Monday and thereafter. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/weak-disturbance-monday-heralds-arrival.html

It's about average right now, but I'm betting that it finishes below.

About 15".

1956.

Pass. Really hoping for all rain, as I'm over dealing with nuisance snow during a work day.

Three consecutive below avg snowfall seasons IMBY...most in recorded history and first time in 21 years.

I disagree....just a unique evolution this season.

It was more than blocking. It was the overall placement and orientation of the long wave trough this year. Believe it or not, I think the -PNA actually benefitted your area, too bc it kept shredding systems that otherwise would have nailed NE. The blocking did this more earlier in the season when there was a +PNA, but then later in the season when it kept happening event when the NAO neutralized some be because the RNA developed and kept a compressed flow in place. The energy would dump west, and begin to attenuate on approach to the east coast. This is also why everything was LBSW in that it would nail NYC/NJ longitude, and peter out some over here.That is something unique to this season bc regardless of blocking and how the Pac look, latitude is usually beneficial in la nina...look at 2010-2011. NYC did well, but NE better. Not this year.

That was really only Feb 1 this year...difference is N Mass wasn't screwed that season.

Frustrating few years here....porked the last two years in el nino seasons that acted more like la nina in the absence of blocking. Nice snow was NW. Now this year, screwed in a la nina acting more like an el nino WITH blocking. ...nice snow was SW. Bad streak in this area, with some snake bitten luck being bent over on every direction by each ENSO state.

My area did a hair better that year with like 60", but close.

I'm not sad.....season featured a couple of nice events within an overall sea of disappointment, yet again. Seasonal call was pretty accurate, February temps not withstanding. Ready for change and reshuffle the deck next year.

See, this is what I mean...people like Scott call me out for bitching "because Holliston beat me by 1" in a random storm"....but this just proves my point. That area beating me by over a foot is a pork job...its not a random event here or there. It's been just about every event this season. I'm over it, at this point, but I'm glad you posted that because it illustrates my point perfectly.

This area about right, with KLWM at 50"....I have 48.5" just N of there.

Yea, been a trend past few seasons. Final was actually 3".

Good forecast...I just would have shifted the slightly heavier 4-7" over s CT, to Boston, down I 95 to s RI, through se MA and to the mid cape. Final Grade: A https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/verification-of-protracted-light-to.html

EPS will hopefully confirm.

That would work, if its still there late week.

I know I'll get scolded, but I see nothing imminent that really interests me, at the moment.