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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Right....I think it will later in the season, but looks to be admittedly a bit less blocky than I had thought for December. Probably worse for the tri state region than us....Dec 1970 was one of the snowier months of December on record here, so it will def probably be somewhat less snowy than that this month with a more hostile arctic.
  2. That was one of my analogs....def some parallels with the big negative PDO and okay arctic.
  3. I would be pretty surprised if that one doesn't work out for a few inches from around the pike in and N in MA.
  4. Looks like the high was 49.8...settled back to 49.3. Mild day, but no torch.
  5. Well, they are a foreign concept in NYC and Jersey because they are rain there.
  6. Its not as bad as it looks...its like 1-3 degrees above average as is. I would argue its actually biased a bit warm at the surface around here with cold being plentiful in Canada. It has the right idea IMO. It implies a blend of Apps runners/SWFE and Miller B redevelopment, dependent upon how timing and degree of any confluence and blocking that is in place.
  7. Yea, serviceable implies in the game, but I agree its precarious there...just going by past experience/climo for these regimes.
  8. The favorable regime is likely to carry over into early Jan, and we could even get a nice phase-change event before another crappy stretch.
  9. Use this site for ENSO appropriate monthly MJO composites, guys. MJO Tables - MeteoNetwork
  10. Pike points north good, I-84 points north servicable. KCON and up is great.
  11. Exactly what I am confident takes place. Polar domain will get less hostile around holidays, but there isn't going to be big blocking until late season IMO.
  12. I was just about to tell him the same thing....its going to be 12/2007 lite for a stetch.
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