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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is your NAO formula looking like? Must be getting to that point soon...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like a very similar evolution to last year with a bit less blocking would play out pretty nicely in my area....shove that shear zone NE.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    West based la ninas are warmer, though...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wonder if that Indonesian convection that scooter keeps hinting at could induce somewhat of a STJ presence this season? I'm not saying 100" in Boston, but you know what I mean...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    If memory serves correct, we generated a bit of blocking, and there were some nice events that easily could have buried the coast, but instead favored the deep interior, regardless....kind of like Feb 2007. Chaos is often the deciding factor in the end...
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Feb '95 was a break or two away from being a really good month....as it was, I had one event of around a foot.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do not think blocking sticks around. I will entertain the idea that it may redevelop in March, perhaps, but there will be an extensive break. That doesn't have to mean no snow during that period...especially up and in.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....those are the dead-ratters....the '99 rat was still twitching a bit.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I January and March 1999, but it was a crap season for me. There are certainly worse seasons, but 41.9" is a solid 20" below average for me.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Goes along with the theme of more extremes that we observed in snow events. Interesting...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would be pretty surprised if at least the month of December doesn't register neg NAO....does it stick all year? Doubtful.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last year, too, at least from my area points north.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    1984-1985 and 1954-1955 are the only other two la nina/neg NAO seasons that I can see that were not above avg snowfall for us.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I won't hesitate.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Blocking+Miller B=Take your steady dose of storms tracking just se of you during max deepening, and like it.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The reason that I think blocking during la nina is a stronger signal for snow in NE, than in an el nino is bc there isn't much that can go wrong with a n stream dominant storm track coupled with blocking. You are just about locked into favorable tracks for the vast majority of storms. During el nino, you and get 2010ed, or 1979ed.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    2005-2006 was mitigated somewhat by the obscene Pac jet.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    To go along with the seasons like 2010-2011 and 2014-2015, I do expect more seasons like 2011-2012, too...more extremes and uneven distribution.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Beyond my lifetime....def. a bit more quickly in Jersey.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I for one do not care to have a vortex as weak as last year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I suspect that was the case in 1995-1996? I need to research the Indonesia dipole...don't really know much about that. Could have a STJ in play more typical of el nino, which is what we had in 1996. 2000-2001 was just a very active N stream.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, many years after the daily max temps begin to rise more precipitously....as of now, its mainly mins, which does not reduce snowfall at this latitude. It will slow the icing of ponds, sure.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....more "lump sum" dumps...goes with the theme.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I certainly do not see anything blog worthy as of yet.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, it was a harrowing night, but I survived. Will post pics one week from never.
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