40/70 Benchmark

Early Season Evolving as Anticipated with First Snowfall Possible Late Sunday Night-Early Monday Early Season Evolving as Anticipated with First Snowfall Possible Late Sunday Night-Early Monday Thus far the latter portion of the autumn has been relatively well behaved in relation to the expectations of Eastern Mass Weather, as the residual positive temperature anomalies from one of the warmest months of October on record led to a fairly mild first half of November. However, the anticipated slight weakening of the polar vortex in conjunction with a marginal abatement of the Pacific jet has indeed lead to the mid month cool down that extend through the balance of November. Eastern Mass Weather November Forecast Composite: Versus verification through the first 2/3 of the month: The vortex will ultimately go through a period of recovery during the early portion of December, which will coincide with a period of milder weather once again to being the month, however, it is this mass flux throughout the polar domain that will also act as a catalyst for a potential winter storm early next week before any potential warm up arrives. Although the weather for the holiday travel period will be relatively benign, it is the return commute to work on Monday morning that may potentially be in peril for some. Potential Post Holiday Storm Monday The primary issue with regard to the potential winter lion at the onset of the 2021-2022 season is just how quickly the transient NAO block and PNA ridge relinquish their respective holds. A more rapid decay of the transient NAO block and/or PNA ridge will allow the two disparate pieces of of energy moving east of the plains on Sunday to remain separate for a longer duration of time. This would result the systems phasing later, further to the east and higher and latitude, which would limit impacts primarily northern New England. However, a faster joining of the respective bundles of energy induced by a slower translation of by one or both of the aforementioned ridges would result in a faster phase lower in latitude, and a messy Monday morning commute for a large portion of southern New England. The most likely solution is somewhat of a compromise with the majority of signifiant snows and delays relegated to north of the Mass turnpike, but undoubtedly a messy Monday morning throughout the entirety of the region. Needless to say, stay tuned and the prudent course of action is to plan for delays Monday morning. First Call Friday if necessary-

That's his point.

Lips on exhaust pipes for you in that

Love me some late-bloom

Its comforting that radiational cooling is being impacted the most because that is not very important.

Good point. My house must be up bigtime.

No, I just saw that Will and Scott said BOS and ORH rose like 1.8* or thereabouts....

Intuitively, it makes sense that NNE is warming a bit faster than SNE...

Yea, homosnowual and heterosnowual...ORH swings both ways.

Unless you live in ORH because you win either way.

Its def helps understanding all of the nuances of the foundational processes......which is why its a weakness of mine.

How messed up are we that that is the only issue identified with that request

I dare you to shovel in only socks and oven mittens.

It makes sense for you because you have a wider array of meteorological interests than I do...I'm only into snows and canes.

At least he confessed his guilt..insight is huge lol

Not as a hobbyist, anyway.

No, I know you don't mean it like that....you just mentioned it a few times going back to yesterday. I mean, if we weren't in the final week of the month, I would....but not paying a whole month for 3 days of inverted troughage haha

No...if it looks imminent, then I'll just BS it with Pivotal image or something.

Why are you adversarial about that? Supporting a family on a single income at the moment...jesus lol Not yet to the retirement days when I can just worry about doggie doo, lips n hips

Oh god, inverted trough. See ya in December

La nina has gotten significantly more east based...best match was last year and 2010 when I did my outlook, but its looks like right now 2017-2018 is closest in terms of structure.

@snowman19Why are you such an ass? Tagging perfectly viable posts and adding jack shit to the discussion. Give it a rest

GFS ensemble 500mb trends for Sunday PM...stronger ridging towards Greenland, western ridge axis shifting slightly farther west & the "50/50 low" lifting out a bit quicker give the shortwave room to breathe near the Northeast US. Perhaps some clipper-gone-coast potential here... https://t.co/udm7Sl4tIP

Dude needs dialectical behavior therapy....its always either zero or 100....this morning he cancelled the rest of 2021, now it's a BLIZZARD!!!!!!!!!