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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would be pretty surprised if at least the month of December doesn't register neg NAO....does it stick all year? Doubtful.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last year, too, at least from my area points north.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    1984-1985 and 1954-1955 are the only other two la nina/neg NAO seasons that I can see that were not above avg snowfall for us.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I won't hesitate.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Blocking+Miller B=Take your steady dose of storms tracking just se of you during max deepening, and like it.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    The reason that I think blocking during la nina is a stronger signal for snow in NE, than in an el nino is bc there isn't much that can go wrong with a n stream dominant storm track coupled with blocking. You are just about locked into favorable tracks for the vast majority of storms. During el nino, you and get 2010ed, or 1979ed.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    2005-2006 was mitigated somewhat by the obscene Pac jet.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    To go along with the seasons like 2010-2011 and 2014-2015, I do expect more seasons like 2011-2012, too...more extremes and uneven distribution.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Beyond my lifetime....def. a bit more quickly in Jersey.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I for one do not care to have a vortex as weak as last year.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I suspect that was the case in 1995-1996? I need to research the Indonesia dipole...don't really know much about that. Could have a STJ in play more typical of el nino, which is what we had in 1996. 2000-2001 was just a very active N stream.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, many years after the daily max temps begin to rise more precipitously....as of now, its mainly mins, which does not reduce snowfall at this latitude. It will slow the icing of ponds, sure.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....more "lump sum" dumps...goes with the theme.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I certainly do not see anything blog worthy as of yet.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, it was a harrowing night, but I survived. Will post pics one week from never.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seems as though the impact of global warming on snowfall is mimicking the trend in the distribution of wealth over the past 50 years in that there is in ever greater distinction between the "haves" and "have nots".
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Our snowfall def has not decreased any since 2007, I can tell you that.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks to back up what Will was saying...the more marginal areas, like Virginia, lower plains and lower terrain of PNW have decreased, while parts of NE have actually increased.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    The percentages look a bit more optimistic for snowfall in the mid Atlantic than the text map. Strange that it implies that the mid ATL does better than SNE, too. Not sure I would hedge that way.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice, yea...just as I had thought. Last March was a nice catalyst for regression lol
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanksgiving turkies drowning everywhere in the 1950s.....
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just as it does in typical warm air advection.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could def. see the freezing of ponds being delayed as a result of global warming...that makes sense. I was just speaking strictly in terms of seasonal snowfall locally when I disputed the impact of global warming.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    2008 also featured the two-pronged heavy event around that same date.
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