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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, IDK Jerry....to be blunt, I don't agree with much of any of what you have had to say over the past month or two. Doesn't mean you are wrong, but I think you are wrong about the interpretation of the JMA guidance, at the very least.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.29" today here.. heaviest missed me for once.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully some posts from Tip next week about exiting the solar max to get me through this.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    There are other risk factors, like living on a slope...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kev and Scott must be in their glory with intense dews for as far as the eye can see.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Paul loves using analogs from the civil war era.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why don't you look at the EMI forecast from Jamestec?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will probably do better, too....40.5" last year. I had around that in '97'98 and '72-'73, which are the worst case sceanrios.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Toss statisticals... just getting a clue.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shunt away.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely correct...just my best estimate.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am thinking a cooler version of 2015, given that el nino will be appreciably weaker...forcing should be in a similar locale.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is where the RONI comes into play.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a wide range of possible outcomes with basin-wide, moderate to strong events.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not at all....easy to do depending on where you picked up the exchange. NBD.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    While I do agree that the SST anomaly configuration is least likely to assume a modoki like configuration, that is not necessarily the case with respect to the velocity potential, which is what is paramount relative to the predominate cold season forcing and resultant weather pattern.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Basin-wide is more likely than both.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    They should make Introduction to sarcasm a prerequisite to posting.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even the ones that sucked usually produced at least one or two large ones....the only season that didn't was 1972-1973.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the pattern this winter could be pretty insane for New England during periods of -NAO/AO.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gonna be some nuclear shit going down if we get a system under an anticyclone this year.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel as though there is room for both. There is plenty of substantive met dialogue in these threads, but I don't see the harm in breaking someone's marbles when the opportunity presents itself....life is more tolerable when you can allow for some levity. I don't see anything personal or particularly venomous.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    When have I ever supported him? I have always agreed with you that his primary focus at this stage of his career is click bait. That being said, I'm not sure why anyone would ignore the strong consensus for dateline forcing next winter. Yes, the el nino continues to be heavily east-based at this time, which accentuates the point that the coming winter will be no slam-dunk of a forecast.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Paul Roundy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep.
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