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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't what I want.... you can't win on this board. Call for cold/snow, then you're a biased weenie...call for anyting else, and you hate winter. Hopefully I am wrong about March...another huge SSW would help if it doesn't send the cold to Shohei Ohtani's hood.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I am fine with the next two weeks being silent....cram it all into the final two weeks and even a below average QPF month will be fine.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Would have loved to have checked it out in February 2008.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Go back and track the discussion.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I mean there is nothing that I could see for the next two weeks to change my mind about March....ie I would need to see it at a shorter lead time.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hugger is the safest bet for me.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think he's bright, which is why it irritates me more. If I honestly thought he was that simple, I would have more sympathy.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is nothing that you can show me that will change my mind for about the next two weeks.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have no issue with discussing why the pattern later in February may not produce.....but posts like that one have zero value.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Before he plays the victim, I said "idiotic" in that it characterizes the behavior, not the person.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its like me taking the one day that there was a flurry in December and posting "some torch"...its absolutely idiotic. No one expects anything before mid month....its either one of two things: 1) He is an idiot 2) Just trying to be an ass Strongly believe its 2.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kev's wet dream.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd be suprised if it makes it to 3/10.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    My second big dog winow from the Outlook in early November was 2/11 to 3/3. I still feel good about that, though it could be argured its a hair early, I guess.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a split flow.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the best look we have had since probably March 2018.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No argument from me on that.....Maybe it runs a few days into March, but I think that will be a relatively nice month in terms of sensible weather. Maybe Raindance is right and there is a cold snap or two, but I am talking in the mean. I don't see a very wintry month.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank you.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is the best site to use for the up to date numerical departures? I never even look at those...I just go by the maps, so if I am off on that, it was not intentional....again, it's all checked in the spring.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    But back to the original point, I don't consider +3 top +4 an "exotic" positive departure. Maybe others disagree.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    So, maybe it's more like +2 to +4 instead of +1 to +3? I use the maps on this site and the complete monthly in degrees F will be out in about a week...but I check it all in May. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/getpage/
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just approximate based on that map I posted, which isn't the complete month, anyway....but like I said, the final assessment is done in May, when the dust is settled and I have access to all of the maps, etc.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Worcester always runs warm...it's been a long standing issue. That said, did I say here were cool spots?
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I went a little warmer than this composite implies...I have been trying to do that more because the composite maps of old analogs just aren't representative anymore.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll get the actual final F departures when those maps are ready...the seasonal forecast isn't graded until May.
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