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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    He keeps blowing that off...I'm sorry, but this is the difference between passive aggressive trolling and good, objective analysis. If you are going to keep it real, then you need to acknowledge everything and be exhaustive.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, that is just keeping it real...its a tall task if we go that late with nothing to show.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Technical SSW in one thing, but I am not concerned in the least about the general strength of the PV over the balance of this season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same page.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am still killing mosquitos in my home.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Keep in mind when I say I feel great about the rest of the winter, I don't mean 2015...I mean near climo snowfall compressed onto about 60% of a season.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    My number one analog....my issue with 1972 was/is the polar domain.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, during the first half of January.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel great about the balance of this winter.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    My number one stretch is February 2015.....#2 is January 1996 and #3 January 2011.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    +PDO period, but also +NAO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, but it peaked insanely early...over the summer.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    1995-1996.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had it double-weighted in my composite, but this season is blockier.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think anyone every expected that in the first place.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    "Nickels and Dimes", as I recall...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Would this help?
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Larry had a bad year last season, but he had been on a good run.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's his subjective opinion, which is fine...that isn't a right or wrong thing. Its about values...like some people have all of the money in the world, but never end up with a family and are miserable, anyway.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its almost analogous to those phycological profiles that you see on forensic shows....are those accurate profiles of the ultimate assailant "lucky guesses"?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes..an "educated" guess.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, its an educated guess based upon historical precedence during preferred analog seasons. All of this work is part of an eclectic, wholistic approach that incorporates many different methodologies to identify the analog seasons in order to glean insight into crucial details like that. Quite frankly, I would expect you to have any insight into that when you have never tried it.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, December sucked. It was worse than I forecast.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good post...as for the accuracy, sure...I have won some and lost some. If you go into my blog and type "Outlook Verification" in the search box...you will see seasons like 2014-2015, 2017-2018, and 2020-2021, 2021-2022 that were damn good....hell, even in 2016 I nailed that blizzard right down to the two week window.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
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