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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I guess ideally, learn each model's strengths and weaknesses within the context of east coast cyclogensis in order to maximize their utility and in so doing, forecast proficiency/accuracy. I know the GFS tends to be overbearing with respect to the N stream...
  2. This is what I am getting at. Same with the UK. I guess if you wanna pin that chart over your bedpost and take it over the GFS, then you do you. I'll pass. But technically, I stand corrected. I did not know that.
  3. I need more than one month of data to trust the GEM over the GFS...I've heard the same crap about the UK, but time and time again its proven erratic.
  4. Odds clearly favor minimal impact, so lets get that out of the way.
  5. No need to check the run. I see bitching and bickering at one another.
  6. The best storms are usually banded outside of one 12 hour stretch.
  7. Fraud Five for a reason....9/10 times it's crap outside of higher terrain.
  8. South of LI....maybe near Jersey shore.
  9. Like the GEFS in the sense that most of the trend is late in the game....IE east of the cape, rather than south of SNE.
  10. You can see how a continuation of this trend would lead to a marriage over Long Island.
  11. Flow looks a hair more relaxed early on with respect to 12z EPS, but probably not a enough to be a huge difference.
  12. More that it could portend a good thing...especially if EPS follows suite.
  13. Tell me this. isn't a trend towards less compression...
  14. They are on the Fruad Five list for a reason lol...but like everything else on this list, they are an actual phenomenon.
  15. All I am saying is inverted troughs to happen, but I agree this is very unlikely to be the final solution.
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