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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That's where I am at...4 months of trying to be objective didn't get me anywhere. Its gotta look imminent at this point.
  2. The key to having a shot in Modoki is remaining weak and/or having a very high ACE.
  3. My list since 1950 is: 1973-1974, 1983-1984, 1988-1989, 1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2008-2009, 2011-2012, 2016-2017 and 2022-2023
  4. Nobody knows for certain, but mainly rain for in SNE for all of March is a safe bet.
  5. I don't see how it can be much worse anywhere east of the Mississippi and north of about 40* latitude.
  6. You are right that its worth watching...weather is humbling, as we saw with respect to that Feb 13th deal.
  7. And I did a whole write up about how awful the forecast was. I don't see the parallel.
  8. I don't think it's useless to say odds are against it.
  9. What is your point? This one will trend very far south because that one did?
  10. I'm not...if it looks good mid week, then I'll have to. I have a better shot than you do, though....I think the 1/7 hit zones is the southern goal post.
  11. Why would I ever take up following severe weather threats? We have @weatherwizfor that-
  12. Unreal....I had a good month of February, and guidance agreed at the start of the month, only to have it whiff.....now I have a torch March, which guidance originally agreed with and now of course it will be the best month. I need a new hobby...some low hanging fruit like stamp collecting.
  13. Actually, I would take e 16 over it this go around.
  14. I still think it ends up north of 1/7 and most of us are mainly rain, but we'll see.....
  15. e48 seems to always be a good time...my fav member.
  16. You can see why I mentoned the 1/6-7/2024 analog....that NE ridge retrograding north portending a system with that kind of snowfall distribution.
  17. Something to watch, anyway. As skeptical as I am, there is a reason I haven't started a 2024-2025 thread yet.
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