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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Late trend like that is how January 2015 began.......the famous "Not Happening, James (RIP)".
  2. Even 1973 had a nice event in late January.
  3. Even 2007 and 1995 had nice stretches in February...I had a foot of snow in early Feb 1995. The only one that sucked through to the end was 1991-1992.
  4. I think that is locked in....not sure how we avoid the Maritime forcing...I don't buy the EURO COD crap.
  5. At least there is cold on the continent, which is a change.
  6. Hopefully I can fire up the first storm blog of the season over the holiday weekend.
  7. I feel like if I am right about this season, one of those will work out for at least a couple of inches for most.
  8. No, I think it should change by around the 20th, but if we are completely shutout into mid month, then that will be cause for concern. Its getting to the point where my antenna is up...I know some people think I am ACATT, but I will change my tune at some point if this were to continue through January. At some point, you just need to look at the scoreboard.
  9. Even 1973 got a couple of inches on the 3rd
  10. Looks like January 1987 got going on January 2 and 1966 on January 8th....2005 on the 5th, 2015 didn't have a significant event until the 20th, but got a couple of inches on the 3rd, so I would agree......def. want to get on the board by mid month
  11. He is implying January is over if we extended the pattern from early January throughout the rest of the month, which is a sentiment that I would probably agree with. But I don't feel that paradigm will persist through the entirety of the season.
  12. I called you a passive aggressive troll. Yes.
  13. Yes and I understand why CC makes it more difficult for the arctic to overcome a poor Pacific, but February is still the best bet in an El Nino season.
  14. Exactly. I have no issue with Snowman, aside from the fact that he seems to be partial about what info he reports
  15. Yes. The polar domain is the only aspect of that analog that I didn't like...otherwise, it was great.
  16. The Pacific jet is one pathway towards a ruined winter....I can appreciate that without expecting it. This is all I am asking of the other school of thought. Some folks here seem to be close minded.
  17. I didn't say to ignore that and automatically default to climo....what I said was to be exhaustive and consider everything. It was implied there was no reason to entertain a change and I gave a reason. Period.
  18. General el Nino climo is not significantly altered due to CC.....sure, hedge warmer on surface temps, but the fact that el Nino is more favorable in February is still valid. That is just idiotic to suggest otherwise....Omega is either a moron or a troll, and judging from the balance of his/her posts, its clearly the latter.
  19. This I agree with...I used this exact image in my blog yesterday.
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