yoda

Looks like a lot of svr wind reports and a waterspout report in NE MD

I think we will have to wait a few hours... looking back in WV

Looks pretty decent for C MD

Could you explain more what you mean by the bolded?

Its kinda funny to see you over an inch of rain and NPZ at not a drop apparently

I hope so. I dont mind the humidity now.... but i hate like mid 90s and blazing sun and mid 70s DP

Not liking seeing mid 90s and humidity return next week

SPC mentions the Mid-Atlantic in its Day 4-8 disco for Thursday and the weekend. Doesn't sound like anything huge... but the threat is there Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0329 AM CDT Mon Aug 03 2026 Valid 061200Z - 111200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thursday... Broad troughing is forecast from the northern Plains through the Great Lakes with a series of disturbances moving through that airflow pattern. Elsewhere, an elongated vorticity ribbon will progress from the central and southern Appalachians into the Northeast. At the surface, a front initially from the southern Great Lakes into the southern Plains is forecast to weaken. Over the eastern CONUS, southerly winds will maintain a broad corridor of 70+ F dewpoints along and east of the Appalachians, which will contribute to moderate instability by afternoon. Aided by the approach of the disturbance aloft, thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage through the afternoon with some severe weather possible. Generally weak vertical shear and the absence of a coherent front in the region lead to uncertainty in where the greatest threat may materialize. An isolated severe threat may also develop along the front from the Ozark Plateau into the southern High Plains, and in AZ during the afternoon and evening. ...Day 5/Friday... An intense mid/upper-level low is expected to evolve over central Canada with upper highs situated over the Great Basin and off the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Between those features, corridors of stronger mid-level flow are forecast from the northern Rockies into the northern Plains, and to a lesser extent over the Northeast. Some severe weather threat may again materialize from the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England in the vicinity of a surface trough. However, the strongest vertical shear is forecast to be displaced to the north of the stronger instability, leading to uncertainty in the extent of the severe weather threat. Isolated severe storms also appear possible along a front moving into the upper MS Valley. ...Days 6-8/Saturday through Monday... The various 00Z ensemble means indicate an upper low initially over Hudson Bay shifting east into northern QC with persistent ridging over the southern CONUS. Between those features, a belt of enhanced mid-level flow is forecast across the northern tier of states with some signal for continued troughing through Sunday over the Great Lakes into the OH Valley. At the surface, there is ensemble member clustering in surface low positions over the northern Plains along a front extending into the upper Great Lakes. There is a model signal for the front to continue into the Great Lakes and Midwest, where some severe weather threat appears possible. A separate severe weather risk may also persist from the Mid-Atlantic into New England. ..Mead.. 08/03/2026

NAM failure

Pouring rain here right now

Looks like its already going to be wrong looking down south

Isn't it retiring soon for the RRFS?

From SPC day 4 to 8 outlook this morning Days 5 and 6/ Thursday and Friday... A slight eastward shift of the mean trough position is forecast on Thursday with some model signal for an embedded short-wave trough to move through the Great Lakes. At the surface, there is some suggestion that a weak front or wind shift will move into the northern Mid-Atlantic during the afternoon with the trailing extension of that boundary stretching through the mid MS Valley into the southern High Plains. Ahead of that boundary, widespread 70+ F dewpoints are expected from New England into the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas, leading to moderate to potentially strong instability. The greatest potential for a few severe storms appears to be across the Mid-Atlantic Thursday afternoon where the moderate instability will coincide with a belt of 30-40 kt mid-level flow. Some severe weather threat may also develop in the Ozark Plateau and AZ Thursday afternoon and evening. On Friday, the above-mentioned Great Lakes short-wave trough is expected to shear northeast across southern ON with 30-40 kt of mid-level flow prevailing over the Northeast. The surface pattern is somewhat disorganized with some semblance of a trough from southern New England through the Mid-Atlantic coastal region. Moderate to strong instability may again develop ahead of that feature, supporting the potential for some severe weather threat during the afternoon and early evening hours. However, the strongest vertical shear is forecast to remain to the north of the stronger instability, leading to uncertainty in the magnitude of the severe threat. ...Days 7 and 8/Saturday and Sunday... The various 00Z ensemble mean solutions indicate a slight eastward shift of an upper low near Hudson Bay with low-amplitude troughing and strengthening mid-level flow moving into the Northeast. Southerly low-level winds within the western periphery of a surface high positioned off the Atlantic Coast will maintain a moist and unstable air mass beneath the strengthening winds aloft. As such, some severe weather threat is expected to persist from the Mid-Atlantic into New England this period. Elsewhere, there is some model signal for a surface front to move into the Midwest, where some severe weather potential may exist.