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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
kdxken replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
You wanted it humid. Humid it will be. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
FPizz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Since YOU don't agree with an official temp, then it HAS to be wrong. Get off your high horse. Your name gives away your extreme bias. -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Category5Kaiju has great points He should visit here -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
L to EPS Caribbean shear -
I wonder how much cloud cover impacts that? I'd think that more cloud cover would reduce the UHI effect and maybe that helps normalize DC temps? Just a guess though.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That’s a real dirty sanchez. -
GaWx started following 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
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The posters/forecasters I favor the heaviest have neither a bullish nor a bearish bias from my perspective.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I understand that, but that doesn't explain why the Martinsburg temperatures are consistently 5F warmer than surrounding towns in that era, including on the date it "hit" a state record of 112F. On the same date, it was 103F in Hagerstown (25-minute drive) and 105F in Kearnesyville (10-ish minute drive) with no appreciable elevation difference. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I know it’s the flight. But considering your start I didn’t expect your BAC to be much below 0.15 during the trip. -
Central PA Summer 2025
TheClimateChanger replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What? It never gets above 90F on Mount Chesco! -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That was the dust bowl heat setting records in many states https://www.weather.gov/ilx/july1936heat https://www.weather.gov/arx/heat_jul36 https://arcfieldweather.com/blog/2023/7/13/715-am-the-deadly-heat-wave-of-july-1936-in-the-middle-of-one-of-the-hottest-summers-on-record-across-the-nation -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
May of 96 had that record heat in May 99 in EWR, even in the cooler summers there may be spikes of heat. -
Just wanted to point out your “max 90 or above (since April 1)” is wrong. It says 1, but you’ve had 3.
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Summary of latest model progs for Nino 3.4: coolest month (these don’t take into account RONI type of adjustments downward) BoM (Australian): -0.2 (in August)(too warm overall in prior 2 years; last July was slightly too warm with -0.17 for OND vs actual of ~-0.4) Euro: ~-0.2 (almost always has been too warm…July forecast last year was only down to -0.11 for NDJ vs actual of ~-0.5) JMA: ~-0.9 (Nov)(did well 2 years ago but too cool last year as July forecast had -0.87 for OND vs actual of ~-0.4) MetFrance: ~-0.6 (Dec)(July outlook too warm 2 years ago but did fairly well last year with it actually slightly too cool with -0.61 OND vs actual of ~-0.4) CFS: -0.5 (Nov)(last July much too cold with -1.32 for OND!) UKMET: -0.76 (Oct) (this is from June as I don’t see July outlook yet)(last July much too cool with -0.95 in OND) ———— So, my latest guess based on last year’s errors and current forecasts (all listed above) is for ONI low point this fall/winter of -0.4. That would likely mean RONI low of -0.6 to -0.9.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Redeveloping again. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
You just know that user @FPizz is going to chime in with a poo emoji, and there it is! I post a very reasonable critique of a clearly bogus reading, and that's the response. I see him typing something else up, wonder what it could be? It's like an IQ test. Anyone with any knowledge of meteorology/weather knows such variance is implausible/impossible, so you have to either willfully pretend its plausible despite the physical impossibility or, well you know... -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
mreaves replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Looks like VT's annual July 10-11 flooding rains moved south. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
112F in Martinsburg, yeah, I don't believe that. It was 103F in Hagerstown and 105F in Kearneysville on the same date, right next door. Hot day, but it's not 7-9F hotter in Martinsburg than neighboring towns. More bogus nonsense, so we can hear how it was so much hotter in the past and climate change is a hoax. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It definitely was, I just thought at 5a it would already have started to mature. Kind of boring without thunder lol. Did have a few fumbles earlier -
Some will say I'm making a big deal out of nothing, but if you look at all the surrounding sites, you'll see only 2010 was consistently warmer in recent years, with years like 1994 & 2024 comparable to this June, which jives with the official statewide rankings. If you looked at the DCA records, you'd think a whole slew of years in the 2010s were warmer - 2008, 2014, 2015, 2017... etc.? I mean 2014 - that was a relatively chilly summer? Not even close to 2025 anywhere else on the planet. What a joke.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
RIP Andy's Netflix subscription -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We board the cruise tomorrow. This is the flight! But all of that isn’t for me lol…it’s for my girlfriend too. I asked for two bacardis and they gave me three. -
Yeah, GSO has 6 consecutive hours of thunderstorm obs. That is pretty rare I would have to imagine. It wasn't just occasional thunder either, it was mostly at least every minute or two during that timeframe