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0.65” so far here. BOS is at -0.9F for the month. That will change quite a bit in the next 10 days

Anyone looking forward to this heat is clinically insane

during the early 90s when we hadn't had any big snow seasons for over a decade, I used to go to the library and read NYT on microfiche and seasons of yore like 1947-48 and 1960-61 and 1966-67 and 1977-78

I like reading these, thanks.

They’re talking about the Thursday fail for most of SNE other than the hill Billy’s in the Berks and VT

Maybe they can hold together at least as regular storms to the coast? The NWS said that was a possibility (Thursday that is)

For NYC too, check out this old NYT article https://www.nytimes.com/1993/07/11/nyregion/heat-wave-records-rewritten-as-east-bakes-and-midwest-soaks.html

what's the trigger tomorrow? it's CAPEy no doubt but I thought the wfront shifts N of the region and we're just sort of neutral in the pigs bum

Were the total number of 100+ days (9) far in excess though? A few of them must have been in June and August in 1993.

Yes actually in some places it lowers the chances of big heat since it affects mins much more than it affects maxes plus more rainfall makes it much harder to have record heat in the summer here.

The overall monthly average high temperatures for NJ in July 2022 and 1993 were fairly close. Monthly Data for July 1993 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. WAYNE COOP 93.1 Newark Area ThreadEx 92.2 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 92.2 MOORESTOWN 4 E COOP 90.9 WOODSTOWN PITTSGROV 4E COOP 90.7 CRANFORD COOP 90.7 LODI COOP 90.5 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 90.4 BELLEPLAIN STA FOREST COOP 90.3 Monthly Data for July 2022 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Newark Area ThreadEx 92.1 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 92.1 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 92.1 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 91.5 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 91.4 CANOE BROOK COOP 91.4 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 91.4 HARRISON COOP 91.0 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 90.5 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 90.5

You missed my point. Even if a warm background state is in place it does not guarantee big heat at any individual location. I mean, good for it being 26th warmest winter for the CONUS. It wasn't anywhere near that warm here. And this summer I frankly dont care how many heat records melt away in the southwest, I just worry how much heat makes it up here.

I just learned that the latest it ever hit 100 in NYC was on September 7th at 101, it was also the earliest it ever hit 100 in NYC because it happened in 1881 lol. We all believe in climate change but it doesn't affect every location in the same way and not all times of the year are affected in the same way either and it affects maxes and mins differently too. It's a much more complex issue than a +1.5 C rise across the board.

Call me strange, but I wish that flood risk was expanded east. All this miserable wetness, light rain, drizzle, mist, and gloominess and nothing even remotely remarkable to show for it.

The heat was more impressive in the 4 day streak in 1993 than the 5 day streak of 2022.

Yeah. Looks like a big day points N & W.

The background state of the CONUS, North America, and the Northern Hemisphere set the parameters of what individual locations experience. This is why even though the coldest temperatures relative to the means last winter were found over the CONUS, it was still the 26th warmest on record since 1895. The most impressive winter monthly departure was last December which ranked as the 4th warmest on record for the CONUS. This spring across the CONUS was the 2nd warmest on record since 1895.

Or not…

I was alive when this historic heatwave happened and I remember Craig Allen said it was 5.... was 7-11-1993 adjusted downward to 99? Back then Craig Allen said the high was 102 on that date, while it was 97 at NYC. The weird thing is I remember the total number of 100+ days as 9 so if one was taken away, another one must have been added later that summer to make the total unchanged. At any rate the magnitude of the heat in July 1993 was much higher than it was in 2022, most of those days barely touched 100.

Thank you mother nature for the most epic season of Kayaking and Small Mouth fishing.

Finally getting decent rain. But won't be much. Thursday is your classic Albany to VT and NH day. Down to western MA and NW CT perhaps too. Rest of us are watching anvil canopies.

As Canderson mentioned yesterday there is some timeing differences at play . Either way I think the biggest news will be the flash flooding here in cpa. The local water sheds have done a great job this year absorbing and shedding but I think there number is up atp.

July 1993 only had 4 days in a row reach 100° at Newark while 2022 had 5. 1993-07-07 103 78 90.5 12.6 0 26 0.00 0.0 0 1993-07-08 105 82 93.5 15.4 0 29 0.00 0.0 0 1993-07-09 104 83 93.5 15.3 0 29 0.00 0.0 0 1993-07-10 105 84 94.5 16.3 0 30 0.00 0.0 0 1993-07-11 99 80 89.5 11.2 0 25 0.00 0.0 0 1993-07-12 97 80 88.5 10.1 0 24 0.00 0.0 0 1993-07-13 98 79 88.5 10.1 0 24 0.00 0.0 0 2022-07-20 100 74 87.0 8.5 0 22 0.00 0.0 0 2022-07-21 100 78 89.0 10.5 0 24 0.01 0.0 0 2022-07-22 100 79 89.5 11.0 0 25 0.00 0.0 0 2022-07-23 101 78 89.5 11.1 0 25 0.00 0.0 0 2022-07-24 102 77 89.5 11.1 0 25 0.00 0.0 0

The background state as a whole doesn't mean much for individual locations though. It's all about weather patterns. In 2023 they were getting plenty of heat to my south and west while Detroit didn't eclipse 90° all year, something not seen since 1915. This year so far saw a colder than avg Jan, a colder than avg Feb, a much warmer than avg Mar, a warmer than avg Apr, and a colder than avg May. June has been colder than avg so far but big heat lurks. Doesn't look to be long lasting though.

Grass is crunchy brown up here.