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To add to the above post: Of the 22 listed years, including the three 2025 is projected to be just ahead of as of August 23rd, only 2007 ended up with a BN total season ACE (averages based on their era). Of the other 21, all ended up the season well AN (based on their era’s average).

Didn’t we just get a lesson in weenie range from Erin. Don’t even look at ops till inside 120 hours

Who's worried about heat stroke? But looks like it could be mid-80s standard summer vibe.

Ain't your week. Tick bites and cool weather. Best stay inside and drink.

18z euro cooled off some by Erin hanging around more. Let’s toss that.

Here Is the 18Z. Lower '80s

Man Erin a little closer is cooling off Saturday now. Disaster. Big change from 00z.

Ditto. Plus 0.10" rain. About 1.8" for the month so far.

Although Erin is trying to keep Saturday cooler than Sunday.

84-88 in SNE. Take em up.

What you got for dew points?

Is that only one reading in the upper '80s? Bet it's Manchester. Outside of the Merrimack valley is looking like '70s and low '80s for the remainder of sne. Not worried about heat stroke.

Fernand gives me Henri vibes. Just not a name that screams forest flattener to me.

Yeah I would take it as long as its spread out over 2 days

Upper 80s

Bump

Looks absolutely brutal. Is that an 80° I see in Southern New Hampshire?! Dew points in the '50s maybe even low 60s! Why did I uninstall...

Hey we need it. Been getting skunked lately with storms. Those amounts seem high though, but I guess we'll see.

High of 90F at 3:57pm. May not see another 90+ for some time and no complaints here.

Was upper 60s. The mid Atlantic there in CT got 70s. Still too cool.

They list the next day’s flights here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml Today’s are here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. HURRICANE ERIN FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 18/1600Z AFXXX 1705A ERIN 18/1400Z NA 18/1545Z TO 18/2015Z SFC TO 10,000 FT BUOY DEPLOYMENT WRA ACTIVATION it seems like they were deploying buoys, i guess to sample stuff.

I wish

Huge difference from your home to the rest of the interior

00z, looks like nhc tracks to far east at first glance. More so when it is starting the north east turn

NATL ACE has risen to 23.6, which is the 16th highest of the last 75 for the date. Based on the latest NHC prog, ACE would be ~42 as of late Aug 23. If that verifies, 2025 would move up to 9th or 10th of the last 75. It would also move up to ~19th or 20th of the last 175 years (~89th percentile). The only ones higher than 2025 as of Aug 23rd would be these: 2024, 2008, near tie with 2007, 2005, 1995, 1980, 1969, 1955, 1951, 1950, 1933, 1926, 1916, 1899, 1893, 1887, 1886, 1880, and 1871. 2025 would be just ahead of 2004, 1966, and 1915. @mitchnick@snowman19@PhiEaglesfan712