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Yeah, points east of NYC haven’t seen 100° heat since the 2010-2013 era. That was when the ridge was centered near the Great Lakes keeping the flow more westerly. These days we get a big ridges east of New England keeping the flow more onshore. So it’s more about the higher dew points for us.

Interesting setup. You're in the monsoon and then some if the banding sets up over you. I'm still at 0.8" total for the wet stretch. We'll see if anything sets up this afternoon. If the sun were to break through, that could be entertainment for someone.

it tolls for thee, too, Ray

looks like the city and NE NJ like Teterboro didn't get that hot either. The heat was much more extensive back in 2010 and 2011.

Gotta say...the Euro from late last week anyways did a damn good job at nailing the second half of the week here. The GFS was super aggressive with building in the high pressure. Euro sniffed out precip along the weak cold front sagging south Thursday.

For whom the bell tolls...apparently not @LibertyBell.

I’m not calling for 40s all week. I’m just saying it might throw a wrench into things with cooler weather and maybe even a couple of showers. All I said was to watch it. I didn’t say it’s gonna be days and days of crap weather.

1.77” storm total

lol probably! seriously, though, after midnight it always seems a lot cooler.

Why? To what?

Lonely times?

We've learned what area wide and widespread mean. Added 0.02" overnight for a monthly grand total of 0.17 W of BWI.

I think the key for this season is finally flip the WPO....since 2016-2017, which was mild for other reasons....we have only had one -WPO season, which was 2021-2022...no suprise that was our one KU in that time.

oh being close to the lake is what most influences your temps

Might be tweaked

Bradford, in the mountains of northern Pennsylvania, warmed nearly 4.5F over the same period.

the funny thing is over here amount of sunshine is what defines heat for me, my body cools a lot at night, regardless of temps.

Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. My memory is well supported by data. Erie lakeshore used to be freezing cold deep into May. A linear regression shows an increase in May high temperatures of nearly 3.5F since 1990, which is a lot more than the Coastal Plain. It's gone from several degrees colder than New York City to only a couple of degrees colder. May high temperatures have barely budged at New York City over the same time period.

It certainly has happened at times during recent summers like in June 2021 when the onshore flow kept the 100s to the west of Long Island. Monthly Data for June 2021 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 103 NJ HARRISON COOP 101 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 100 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 100 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 98 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 98 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98 CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 98 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 97 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 96 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 96 CT DANBURY COOP 96 NY CENTERPORT COOP 96 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 95 CT OXFORD WATERBURY WBAN 95 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 95 NY SHRUB OAK COOP 94 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 94 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 94 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 94 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 93 NY SYOSSET COOP 93 NY MOUNT SINAI COOP 93 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 92 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 92 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 91 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 91 NY MATTITUCK COOP 91 NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 91 NY CARMEL 4N COOP 91 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 90 NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 90 CT GROTON COOP 90 NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 89

This was his forecast

Strange how that area of convection off the jersey shore keeps firing over and over in the same area. It doesn’t seem to move north with the flow either. Must have to do with the Gulf Stream

Up to 0.75" for the entire event here. Our area hasn't done great, but at least it has been enough to give everything a much-needed watering. Hopefully we'll get lucky this afternoon.

Yea, Chuck would probably agree given his NAO subsurface formula.

Looks we are on track for another year around 1.5C above preindustrial levels.