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Presidents' day Snow potential
Freezing Drizzle replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Those strong echoes in far south Jersey look like they've hit a wall. Not budging northward. -
Presidents' day Snow potential
Sharknado123 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Is that area of lower returns across Central New Jersey due to the Mt Holly radar being down or due to actual lower precipitation rates? That's what I'm trying to figure out. -
As of 10:30 pm, it's 33/31F here and we have ~1/4" on the snow, but it's been snowing at what I would estimate at close to 1/2" per hour rates for 1.5 hours, but have just a dusting on cars and maybe 1/4" on the snow, so we've "lost" close to 1/2" of accumulation already and we were only forecast to get maybe 2" or so. Not sure we're getting more intensity, so we need it to drop another degree or so
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Yardstickgozinya replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Light snow falling Fairview township 10:21 pm -
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Presidents' day Snow potential
winterwarlock replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Big flakes just melting into the abyss on contact -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
winter_warlock replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
. Looks good.. it's only 180+ hours out . Yeah.. I mean What could go wrong??.. -
I didn't realize the 1970s were our most snowless decade until this one. I guess the cold/dry thing is bigger than you would think.
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Today's split EWR: 42 / 28 (0) NYC: 40 / 32 (0)
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Presidents' day Snow potential
Freezing Drizzle replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Snowfall intensity has picked up nicely to a moderate rate, even though the heaviest echoes have passed. Reaching saturation? Down to 34 F. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wet snow here and 34 degrees. -
Definitely in your youth since you’re an old man.
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0.55 here. Had to drive in it later in the afternoon over to Baltimore to pick up the older Ms. J from a film set. Then drove her back down to DC. Driving on 70, 695 and 95 was not fun. The snow pack created a low fog and along with the rain the glare on the highways made it hard to see if you were in your own lane. Only 200 was decent as the reflective striping was still reflective.
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You ARE cherry picking. Why the hell are you choosing 1956? And when you add twenty years to that, 1976, 1996, 2016... the numbers go up only because of COINCIDENCE. The 1950s were MUCH snowier than you think they were, too! Here are the ten-year averages, also graphed below: 1891-1900: 27.1" 1901-1910: 23.1" 1911-1920: 23.0" 1921-1930: 20.0" 1931-1940: 21.0" 1941-1950: 18.5" 1951-1960: 18.5" 1961-1970: 26.5" 1971-1980: 14.5" 1981-1990: 15.4" 1991-2000: 16.3" 2001-2010: 18.0" 2011-2020: 14.9" 2021-2025: 6.8" The UHI effect isn't negligible, but it should NOT cause this steep of a decrease in snowfall!
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Presidents' day Snow potential
Bxstormwatcher360 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Temp dropped from 35 to 32 in 30 mins here. Winds are up and the snow went to nothing to boom. Steady lgt to mod snow here currently. -
winter_warlock started following Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range and February Discobs 2026
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Light rain occuring here 36.5F
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Snow in camp Hill Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Feb so far: Highs: BOS: 32 OWD: 32.3 BED: 31.0 Lows: BOS: 18.0 OWD: 4.5 BED: 6.2
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
winter_warlock replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
But those are what drives our weather, so gotta include them in discussions -
My forecast has low 80s for Thu/Fri highs…yippee!
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31.6
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I got ~0.75” of rainfall from showers mid to late this afternoon with some heavy for a short period. This is the most I’ve gotten in a day since at the very least Jan 18th.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
MAG5035 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We’re cooked in the low levels up thru 925mb or so, the easterly/northeasterly flow from the low going to the south is drawing sub zero 925mb air thats in place from that direction.. hence the backwards changeover. Actually a pretty decent band of precip running along the I-80 corridor from State College over to pretty much NJ, and there’s accumulating snow on the cams on I-81 and 80 near Hazelton and down I-81 as far as at least the US 209 exit north of Pine Grove. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
AccuChris replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Snow starting to stick a little bit on the exposed grass and elevated surfaces in Lebanon now . -
NAO's lowest Winter (DJFM) reading since 2010-2011 was -0.24. 14/15 Winter's were >0 NAO. Months with Winter NAO >1.11 were 19 positive, and 0 negative since 2010-11. That's a significant piece to the puzzle - we are max +NAO decadal for the last 15 years. Add in the strong -PNA that we have seen Feb-March 2018-2026 and it starts to make a little more sense. Not to say that the average snowfall hasn't dropped, but it's not as big as it appears.
