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Hey, I never though I'd be on the verge of 8 consecutive shitty seasons, but here we are....

Sorry I misjudged you. Free country and I'm not a mod, but I still think for the sake of the conversation being interesting and focused for everyone just think before you hit "post." Everyone knows the range of outcomes without you stating the far fetched obvious. ✌️

this is literally full of condescension and yet, you are going to say that i was being insulting after you said that my degree was undeserved and unearned. I am going to stop responding to you, as I do not want to clutter this thread, but you should look at what you're doing here. it's really not cool

Oh yeah. They phase in the wrong place at the wrong time for sure. A Miller A is a blind dart throw. Inland runner, cosstal runner, benchmark…my bust memories are miller As.

If one is a CT to Scooter special and the other one pounds MHT points north, I am absolutely going to be sectioned.

You mean when DCA almost reached 80 degrees in Jan? I seriously doubt it happens this time. Feburary, maybe.

We will rebuild. .

my understanding is the storm can phase too far east or north....seen that more than a few times.....jan 2015, march 2001....they were still good storms, just not for us....i did get 7 inches in jan 2015 though, and 6 in feb 2013, which felt like a win after that winter....if those were miller b's....

Could we see a 2024 style warmup if it verifies? Or will it get muted once again?

I think it’s a completely reasonable position to say that we need something out of the 16th or 18th. if we whiff on both those chances, you are really starting to rely on some truly slim possibilities to a path to normal snow

I get that for sure. Fully agree. But if you only post positive trends it becomes a boy who cried wolf situation. And your analysis becomes unreliable. That's a meaningful critique.

Foothill misery continues

Bank it . lol (jk) Lee side [emoji3517] .

its a message board; don't take it personally. you'd probably be friends in the real world, because there aren't many out there who enjoy snow....not in these parts.

True, but not with temps in the 60s/70s

I have seen him do that, but I think he is guilty of what a lot of us are...when a situation sucks, or goes to shit...we tend to disappear like that Homer Simpson GIF into the bushes lol We have all done it.

Short Pump bullseye...

Looking ahead through end of Jan, all ensembles bring a southern/SE ridge after jan 22… but gefs/geps retrogrades the ridge west toward the end of their runs. If they’re correct, that thaw will only last a few days before it gets colder again. Euro wants to keep the SE ridge all the way through, but with mjo going into 7 I think its wrong and will catch up to gefs/geps.

Then its not a miller b. Its a whiff. Miller bs are more reliable IMO - but they can whiff kicker and miss of course

Much better

2 runs in a row of 4"+ snowfall on any model this year has been hard to come by. I'll call this a victory and hope it's a sign of better things to come.

Low end warning event on a weekend. Where do I sign?

Yea, I believe him....like I said, I didn't see it.

I am responding to your post because I respect you as a poster. I want to limit commentary of a personal nature. I was very clear what I was critiquing with Brooklyn. It only gets murky when multiple people pile on with comments on other comments, and the original context gets lost. Brooklyn made a sarcastic response to someone else's post asking rhetorically if he should "not analyze models." I responded based on his well known propensity to post positive-trend animations that it would be helpful if his "analysis" included both positive and negative trends for a "more balanced" assessment. His response was again sarcastic and insulting. My critique of Brooklyn's style is that his always positive "analysis" regarding long-range charts is not well correlated to sensible weather outcomes. It is not difficult to recognize a favorable "look" on an long-range ensemble chart. ChatGPT does that quite well. There is little value in pointing out these features on 240hr charts. I think he should still be in LEARNING mode more than TEACHING mode. And eventually I think he could offer a lot more than one-sided cheerleading. I am entitled to this opinion, and people can agree or disagree with me if they like. Considering the prolific nature of his posts, Brooklyn should be able to handle legitimate critique. Maybe I'm misjudging him. If he proves me wrong and demonstrates a deeper repertoire, I will happily acknowledge it.