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That is correct. I re-read up on it and the whole point of Judah’s SAI index is to measure the rate of snowcover buildup in Siberia, in October, especially mid-late October @kazimirkai As far as the northeast Pacific warm blob, I read that Paul is expecting it to continue cooling and not last into winter. Over the last few weeks it has been weakening and cooling, whether that continues or not remains to be seen

Yes. That’s what the NWS reported.

Its not going to be a fish, its rolling through the bahamas. FISH=no landmass

Overnight runs mostly going with the stall at the coast and then move east idea. Euro AI the notable exception but I don’t think it’s very good with tropical?

153rd with a standard deviation of 9.16 degrees.

It looks like nice weather next week with low dewpoints. I guess that's a good backup plan since the weather looks boring.

I’m in jet lag gel so figure I’d share this pic. We flew over Greenland for a while yesterday and it was cloud-free, which basically never happens. It was jaw dropping beautiful! Look at the rivers of ice!

We can hope for something but who knows.. I'm hoping 94L/nine stays just offshore and can come up next weekend..

Hartford: 1.72"Islip: 0.30"New Haven: 1.34"New York City-Central Park: 0.35"New York City-JFK Airport: 1.38"New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 0.33"Newark: 0.17"Storrs: 2.76"White Plains: 0.47" Don are you sure JFK got so much rain? I saw a report of around 0.58 from that area.

where is September 1983 on this list, Don? It was continuously hot!

you should have your landscape lights set to automatically turn on when the sun goes down.

did you get your new pc yet? what are its specs and how much was it?

ehhhh maybe you mean mid October? usually we're still up around 90 in mid September LOL

85 here too

85 here for the second time since September 20 Tony!!

it was one of our warmest days of the month, made it to 85 here for the second time since September 20th lol

Yes why are people talking about an October torch when it's supposed to turn chilly as soon as October starts?

1950 - Residents of the northeastern U.S. observed a blue sun and a blue moon, caused by forest fires in British Columbia. (David Ludlum) a blue sun? I would love to have seen that! about hurricane Gloria in 1985 didn't that storm peak at Cat 5? 1985: Hurricane Gloria weakened briefly while moving from northeast of the Bahamas to just off the southern North Carolina coast by days end. Gloria peaked the previous day with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph and a minimum central pressure of 920 millibars or 27.17 inches of mercury. Gloria weakened during this date to 90 mph at 06z and 12z before regaining strength intensifying to 100 mph by days end. Washington, DC area was lucky as hurricane Gloria stays well east of Washington, DC. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

It's called climate change and it's only gonna get worse. Endless summer year-round

These homebrew systems developing under ridges with weak steering flows are typically a pain in the ass to forecast in the southeast

Humberto being stronger and further west is why the models are showing more interaction/Imelda being pulled east. This is not set in stone hopefully no one lets their guard down but obviously this drastically reduces impacts if the offshore stall occurs. Huge difference in 100 miles at this range

Once again revised scoring table to account for (a) Humberto now a major hurricane, and (b) Imelda very likely to form and reach at least tropical storm status. As no forecasters have fewer than 4 hurricanes forecast, for Imelda to reach hurricane status will improve scores by 1 if you predicted 4 hurricanes, by 2 if you predicted five, by 3 if you predicted six, etc. (errors reduced from -1 to 0; -3 to -1; -6 to -3; -10 to -6, etc). I have added a potential score for that possible outcome, in brackets, after the indicated score.

0Z Euro stays away from the US.

So I've checked a few other rain gauges by me and the over the past year I'm confident the area around me experienced a 4 standard deviation deficit in rainfall based upon the up to date hydrogeology studies which means I think they need to redo the studies. I'm confident I did not have a 1 in 31500 year bad luck event, even though my luck has been stupidly bad this year with rain. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Such a bizarre situation. I don't think we know what will happen.