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We 6z GFS
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Strongly +WPO will cause ridging with a +PNA. -
Man, even if there’s a bootleg cool down from Northeast winds, dews and heat come right back
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Sell any cold front too
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Officially the coolest start to August since 2013 which was a nice break from the wall to wall heat since late June. Hoping the 0z Euro has a clue about the more onshore flow and the 100° heat misses to the north in Maine. But the GFS still has more westerly flow and gets the warm spots to 101° on Wednesday. We are one of the parts of the country where a small shift to more southerly flow can make the difference between 90s and low 100s. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ August 1-7 Average Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025-08-07 74.5 1 2024-08-07 81.7 0 2023-08-07 75.6 0 2022-08-07 83.1 0 2021-08-07 75.6 0 2020-08-07 78.7 0 2019-08-07 77.9 0 2018-08-07 82.2 0 2017-08-07 74.9 0 2016-08-07 75.8 0 2015-08-07 79.1 0 2014-08-07 75.9 0 2013-08-07 73.2 0 2012-08-07 80.4 0 2011-08-07 80.6 0 2010-08-07 79.9 0
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I have a feeling some others, won't be so optimistic about the heat. But i'm sure they'll sweat through it.
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always the safest bet.
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Coldest August ever.
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@Gawx
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Seeing the hazy look from the smoke driving around yesterday made me think of hazy/hot/humid weather back in the 70s and 80s, but the temp was cool. Weird! Looks like a beautiful stretch coming up -- until we cook next week
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14 day heat wave and desert Stein out the window on one run.
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2025-2026 ENSO
so_whats_happening replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I still find it very weird that we can use new baselines and the anomalies that are associated with them as facts (especially temps) but yet we use this chart above as fact taking out that baseline increase... https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data_current/5km/v3.1_op/animation/gif/ssta_animation_30day_large.gif -
If anything, the -PMM has increased in strength…more support for a possible La Niña event this fall/winter:
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Sky net and Euro in sync lol. Nice cold front day 7 on both. That's a change.
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Sell any cane near here.
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Of course! I wouldn't let you down...
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I knew I could count on you!
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Some of us live above and we take!