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  1. Past hour
  2. Seeing the qpf trend over the past 5 cycles is pretty hilarious
  3. Nam north It was very close to a phase
  4. Just because I've been tracking it, 00z Euro is 64F for DCA 2-19, and 66F 2-20. 0z eps peaks 62F on 2-19.
  5. Radar https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/mar-4-6-2001
  6. The 0z AI EPS also shows snow on both the mean & median.
  7. The 0z Euro AI shows some snow by Monday am.
  8. I mean it's an AFD in 2001, saying it on TV to tens of thousands of people is a very different thing. And the next AFD you can hear the disappointment and fear in drags words. Forecasts didn't change all that much but did go down a notch
  9. Today
  10. Wait is this is a logbook fail incoming? Now see I thought this weekend was rain because the storm got here too late and the cold air had already escaped (and that if it were 12-24 hours sooner it would've been snowier) But you're saying this woulda worked before... Man I still don't get how the switch just flipped so quickly like that. This kind of setup work between 2010 & 2015? I hope this is a PDO issue and not the other.
  11. There is some phasing going on. Keep track or dont post.
  12. Sometimes there are surprises and models are trying to play catchup and never get it right especially in the beginning of a complex pattern change - it has happened before....In addition i don't think the models are receiving all the data they should on a consistent basis these days because of reduced funding. How NOAA funding cuts could make it harder to predict and prepare for severe weather | PBS News
  13. Snow storm is when Winter Storm Watches and Warnings are issued and they verify - no one said this is going to be a "snowstorm" as of now - don't need phasing to create a moderate advisory type snowfall or even a moderate snowstorm.
  14. There was 14.5 inches here on March 2nd, 1942. We ended up with almost 80 inches here in the winter of 1959-60. 3 inches in December after a very warm month with the snow falling Dec 30th and 31st, 10 inches in January, 25 in February and 39 in March.
  15. 1500 slopeside. Convective city tsnow for an hour animated.mov
  16. Its very close to a bigger solution with a cleaner phase.
  17. It depends on what you decide a "snowstorm" is. Will it be the early 2000s storms? No, but it could very well be better than 95% of what we've gotten the past several years
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